Peter Lavelle

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01 July, 2009, 08:52
Derailing Medvedev and Obama

US President Barack Obama will soon arrive in Moscow, marking his first visit to Russia while in office. However, in the days and weeks leading up to this occasion, with the aim of “resetting” Russia-US relations, there has been a concerted effort on a number of fronts to derail this enterprise. On the domestic front, some prominent Russian liberals have urged Obama not to engage closely with the Kremlin because of Russia’s claimed “values deficit.” On the foreign front, the issue of Georgia is again being used as a wedge to divide Moscow and Washington.

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Since taking office, Obama has been provided with an enormous amount of advice on how to repair the Russia-US relationship, which was left on the barest of life-support by the Bush administration. The good news is that Obama appears willing to rebuild this bilateral relationship primarily on shared security interests. Indeed, until there is strong evidence to the contrary, it would seem Obama is embracing a realistic approach to foreign policy in general, and this includes Washington’s Russia foreign policy in particular. While I am cautiously optimistic that America will attempt to learn from its past foreign policy mistakes, there are those who demand that ideology, and the so-called “values agenda”, should remain paramount. In other words, it would seem that some believe there was nothing really wrong with Bush’s neocon agenda – it was good theory, but its implementation never reached expectations.

Many of Russia’s well-known liberals are not neocons, but they appear to suggest that the US should be party to solving Russia’s problems, as they understand their own country. In a Washington Post op-ed piece, “False Choices for Russia”, published on June 9 by Lev Gudkov, Igor Klyamkin, Georgy Satarov, and Lilia Shevtsov, we are told that “America has ignored the problems of democracy and civil society in Russia, but even turning a blind eye did not prevent the breakdown in the U.S.-Russian relationship -- and now Obama is essentially being asked to treat Russia as though it is incapable of democratic transformation.” Russia’s democracy project – with all its problems, successes, and challenges – is the sole affair of the Russian people. Now it is an obvious truism that, the more Washington meddles in the affairs of another, the more that state is seen as less than legitimate in the eyes of society and its liberals of all stripes.

The authors of “False Choices for Russia” continue the long and failed tradition of Russia’s liberal intelligentsia when looking to the West to remedy their country’s problems. I would advise Obama to ignore completely Russia’s liberals, up until the time Russian liberalism matures and accepts that it must work as a partner in Russian politics. To date, liberals in Russia only lecture and demean their own people, as well as criticize the current political elite without offering a coherent alternative. Russian voters have no interest in a liberal agenda and this is the reason Obama should have no interest in Russian liberals.

No one should be surprised that there are many liberal and neocon elements in the US and Russia who hope to influence Obama on how to engage Russia – after all, many make a living off supporting Washington’s policies and its various instruments of soft power. Truly improved relations Russia and the US would make them irrelevant and obviously redundant. This is where the foreign front comes to the fore – playing the Georgia card.

Washington’s “Georgia project” went into complete disarray when Mikhail Saakashvili attacked South Ossetia last August. It was supposed to be a quick war that would show the world “democratic Georgia”, after which America’s ally could continue the advance of western influence in the post-Soviet space at Russia’s expense. The result of that conflict was the emergence of two new states, South Ossetia and Abkhazia, and there is nothing that will change this reality on the ground.

Today, things are very different. Saakashvili is fighting the political struggle of his life – he may not be made to flee his country, but it is clear he rules as a very unpopular leader. This state of affairs has not deterred many in the US and some in Russia from using Georgia a flashpoint to warn Obama that Russia cannot be truly a strategic partner of the US.

Saakashvili is no longer the showcase of the neocon agenda. But this does not matter – Georgia can be used in a different way. In the past few weeks, the message coming out of western media and governments is support for Georgia – which in Georgia is deemed no longer important. However, mainstream media rarely points out that Georgia’s opposition is really no different from Saakashvili when it comes to foreign policy, which of course is pro-American and anti-Russian. Thus, nothing has really changed – Georgia, with its erratic leadership and political elite, continues to be used to undermine a Russia-US rapprochement. How Georgia actually enhances American foreign policy interests are never really explained, particularly in reference to Russia.

It is my hope that Obama comes to Moscow like he did to Cairo – with an open mind. Moscow and Washington do have their differences, but the commonalities are even greater. Russia’s democracy project has a long way to go, but its course can only be determined by the Russian people and not by ideologically-driven Americans and self-denying Russian liberals. Georgia has become a failed state because of foreign meddling. Obama can turn a new page with Russia if he is determined to adhere to the value of mutual cooperation and leave the Georgians to figure out their own affairs among themselves in their geopolitical neighborhood.

Show comments (9)
Gene Hopkins

03 July, 2009, 07:32

Peter,

Let's remain cautiously optimistic regarding the upcoming Medvedev-Obama summit.

Gene Hopkins,
SF, CA, USA
G


MEJanssen

03 July, 2009, 04:57

I was going to refrain from commenting until I heard a quote from Pres. Obama today that just made my jaw drop. He said Putin should understand that the Cold War is outdated, and that Putin needs convincing that the US wants cooperation rather than an antagonistic relationship, and that he has one foot in the old way of doing business and one foot in the new. Wow. This is either the most hypocritical thing I have heard in the past 5 or 6 administrations, OR, Obama won first prize in the contest of, "Just Does Not Get It." Wow, where to begin and how to keep this short . . . How about, Mr. President, you could look at your own cabinet and consider replacing some of those old Cold War-horses. Maybe stuff a sock in Biden's mouth before he says something that sounds like it could have come from 1963. Or, how about, weed through your advisors and get rid of those C.F.R. guys who still want to dismantle Russia and sell the pieces to big capitalists. Or, um, cut back on funding those crazy "freedom fighters" in the North Caucasus. How about cancelling the contract for that missile installation planned for Poland (to protect against Iran, but "coincidentally" pointed toward the east?). THEN we can talk about whether or not Russia seems to have 'tude. OK?


Peter Lavelle:
488167

African

02 July, 2009, 10:36

I'm afriad I agree with Astraea and Meslin on this one. America is clearly, clearly behind the Honduras coup, just look at the facts. I recommend Al-Jazeera as well as an alternative news source as well for those who want to see what role America has and is currently playing in Honduras.


JK

02 July, 2009, 02:07

You are right Peter. Again. As always
It is painful to watch how much resources and even more lives are being wasted on and by politics of confrontation.
Wouldn't it be nice, if we could have a minimum of 1,000 years of global peace. Just think how much we could build, just think how far we could really go - all the way to the stars one hopes.
We have the dreams. So what or who is really stopping us?
Maybe those who are stopping us should pose themselves the old question: "How many Angels can dance on the tip of a needle?"
If they cannot answer that question then I bet they cannot even begin to know how much damage they are doing to humanity and its dreams and future.
JK


Rikard Baric

01 July, 2009, 21:04

Obama’s challenge is yet to be created - in Russia! This is the duty of the Russian host: to load only as much of expectancy to re-trigger Obama’s own creativity successfully expressed before entering White House.
Let the expansion face the resurrection. Otherwise all remains “just another brick in the wall”.


Meslin

01 July, 2009, 20:25

Mr Lavelle.
It seems to me that like certain russian decisions'makers, you confuse wishfull thinking and realistic politics.
In Honduras, Iran, Georgia, Ukraine etc.american dirty tricks have not stopped. The AMD has not been scrapped and none of the 700 military and spy installations set-up all over the World (mostly around Russia) has not been closed.
Mr Obama' sincerity and willingness to change US global priorities need to be proved by actions not just by talks. So far nothing concret has been done, because, like his predecessors, Obama is a pawn
whose election costed 3 billions $. That is all ! Sincerely.
Jean-Claude Meslin


Paul

01 July, 2009, 17:19

Any country that looks to the west for guidance and help will end up exploited. No country should put too much faith in any foreign mentor because it will cost them.
Those in Russia that want the US to show them the way are not trustworthy. Only Russia can work out its own problems.


Astraea

01 July, 2009, 09:17

Peter, this Obama person does not have a mind of his own and he is remarkable for being to say exactly what he does not mean! It is amazing.


lolo

01 July, 2009, 06:51

I'm not sure what you mean when you say Moscow and Washington have more commonalities than differences? Even the one thing I can think of that they truly have in common, which is to end terrorism, their approaches are very different, with Russia preferring regional solutions to America's unilateral cowboy antics.


18 June, 2009, 20:25
Saakashvili’s lipstick artist
03 June, 2009, 22:59
Freedom House running scared
About author

Peter Lavelle is the host of RT's week in review programme In Context, and was the anchor of the commentary series IMHO (In my humble opinion). And RT viewers can expect to find Peter in the news studio commenting on breaking events. This includes live press conferences and when decision makers meet anywhere in the world.

Peter Lavelle has extensive experience in academia and the world of business. He did his doctoral studies at the University of California in Eastern European and Russian studies. He has lived in Eastern Europe and Russia for a better part of the last 25 years. During that time he was a lecturer at the University of Warsaw, a market researcher for Colgate-Palmolive, an investment analyst for a number of respected brokerage firms, including Russia’s Alfa Bank.

In the realm of media, Peter Lavelle is widely published. He has written for Asia Times Online, Moscow Times, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, United Press International, In the National Interest, and Current History – to mention only a few.

Peter enjoys reading, films, long walks through Moscow, and caring for his two dogs. Viewers are invited to read his daily blog, below.

Peter Lavelle also has an Internet discussion group on Russia:

http://groups.google.com/group/Untimely_Thoughts_An_Expert_Discussion_Group_on_Russia