Turkey and Russia tie up on energy during PM talks
Published: 14 January, 2010, 17:19
Edited: 14 January, 2010, 22:27
Vladimir Putin (R) and Turkey's Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan (AFP Photo / RIA Novosti / Pool / Alexey Nikolsky)
(9.3Mb) embed videoTAGS: Oil, Russia and the global economy, Economy, Gas
Russian Prime Minister, Vladimir Putin, says Turkey will allow the construction of the South Stream gas pipeline through its waters by November, dealing a blow to EU plans for a rival project.
Vladimir Putin and his Turkish counterpart Recep Erdogan again affirmed their commitment to understanding each other's energy issues at their Moscow meeting, with the Russian PM ebullient about the readiness state of the South Stream project.
“Work is on-schedule. Environmental testing is 100% complete. Geological and seismic studies are in an active stage and between 85-90 % complete.”
Russian gas currently enters Turkey through the Blue Stream pipeline. Turkish volumes have been down with the economic downturn of 2009, but there is no talk of fines here – unlike Europe – with Turkey seen as a strategic partner, and also the key player in the Samsun – Ceyhan oil pipeline.
Tri-lateral cooperation between Russia, Turkey and Italy in the South Stream gas pipeline and the Samsun Ceyhan oil pipeline might be forged into a common agreement. CERA analyst, Vitaly Ermakov, says this could see Russia gain expedited approval for South stream, which he adds is vital.
“Russia proposed it's alternative, the South Stream project, which is known as Ukrainian bypass. It should be also noted that it bypasses Turkey altogether and in this sense the meetings between Erdogan and Putin in august and now have a lot of hard bargaining.”
Beyond gas and oil, economic cooperation is also deepening with an agreement on construction of an atomic power plant in Turkey. The next top-level meeting between the countries is scheduled for May.
14.01.2010, 12:27
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CERA analyst is missing forest for the trees. He claims that the South Stream bypasses Turkey completely, and hence, Russia and Turkey have some negotiating to do. So much is being misunderstood here, that one has to just wonder about how carefully has the world of analysts been following the subtle twists and turns. First, Blue Stream extension, and the oil line Sumsun-Ceyhen. The aim is clearly to extend the energy supplies to Syria and Lebanon, giving them options that are not dependent on volatile Iraq. What appeared to be purely technical consideration --- moving the South Stream to parallel the Blue Stream into Turkish territorial water --- has proven to be a significan surprise. Because from that position, the south branch of South Stream, never talked about very much, can continue without impediments through Greece to Italy. The previous plan called for entry into Bulgaria, and then split into two branches, one to Greece and Italy and another through Serbia and Hungary. While all the pressure has been on Bulgaria to slow the project down, quietly, South Stream will reach Europe via Italy. This is why France hastily joined, as it would have found itself needing to by gas from Germany's Nord Stream. Basically, if Bulgaria remains stuck, Turkey will take South Stream over its territory into Greece, cutting out Bulgaria. Turkey has everything to gain. In the future, doors will open to Iran. It can supply Middle East. Now, opening moves with Armenia create the possibility of Azerbaijani energy reaching Tukey via Armenia, bypassing troublesome Georgia. Turkey and Russia are doing smart business, while others play energy geopolitics.