What you are looking is a dynamical mathematical model based on how people live their lives and the pressures put on them. To write it out completely down the minutia would take thousands of keyed variables and mathematic inter lay. If you didn't like calculus cover your ears and go lalalala. Because to have a system of accurate behavioral matrixing in today's society with all biological groups interacting across all arc types is very difficult. You will always have things fall through the cracks but materialism is a device that defuses much of that combined with a sense of self determination. Even if it is not real you have to let the average citizen believe and behave in a way that they think it is. What you get are chain theory components of mathematical systems. Although puppet masters already know this and it begs to answer what are they thinking with policies that close down development? Under such a policy the system is thrown into a collapse function and the herd panics. Although a new system is not likely but you will probably see the state attack its people and intensify programs of intimidation, subjugation, restriction and divestment of personal energy.

probably because set conditions, tensions, stressors create terrorists and wars. You can find a pattern in anything but can you keep it going?

The formula of predicting insurgents and terrorist attacks was conceived by mathematicians and physicists in CIA and MOSSAD laboratory departments and then passed on to government officials in the White house, Pentagon and Scotland Yard. This mathematical model was coined prior to American and Spanish Civil Wars and successfully used in all other major Wars or Revolutions which occurred during the last 2 Centuries or so.