­If you have been watching the GOP presidential debates, you obviously have figured out that all but Ron Paul want to go and get Iran.  They do not just want to go and get Iran, but as Newt Gingrich said, “go get em and then deny it”.   Yikes!!! So what does this completely aggressive posture towards Iran mean? Does it mean that the GOP has conveniently forgotten about poorly judged Iraq war?  Does it mean they underestimate the status of the US military after 10 years of open ended, drag out fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan?  It is hard to know, but no one should underestimate the reality that if Republicans had it their way, we would be making war with Iran.

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (AFP Photo / Karen Minasyan)

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First, I am going to make a broad guess, and that Barrack Obama is still going to be the president in November of 2012, so all the blabbering from the GOP candidates is more than likely political crap.  The reason is, Obama is going to raise 1 billion dollars, and no one on the center right seems to be able to get behind the soon to be nominee Mitt Romney.  Romney has the charisma of a fart in the wind, and his policies are equally as solid as a wet noodle.  The GOP would have to encounter a miracle, but it is unlikely that will occur, being how lame their organizations and candidates are compared to the democratic machine, and Obama’s beastly campaign skills. Meaning, if the candidate is not going to be more charismatic than the incumbent, and he is not going to out fund-raise, then his chances go down.

Second, if the Obama team thinks the general election race is going to be too close that the GOP might really be a challenge then Obama will pull his silver bullet to dumb Hillary Clinton as the VP to really rally independent voters.  Meaning,  no matter what ticket the GOP puts together, its unlikely to posses the flavor, energy, and passion that comes from the democrats, and their candidates.

Third, the GOP is so uninspiring this year, its unimaginable that anyone, even Ron Paul, can surmount a national movement to challenge the power structures of the center-left caucus.  While observing the tea-party’s strategy this year in places like Wisconsin, Ohio, and Florida the Democrats have been seen as the moderates thus pushing independents in battle ground states towards Obama and the Dems.  Like it or not, the GOP is in a civil war between Neo-cons and Libertarian Ron Paul voters, Tea-Party vs Establishment GOP voters, and social conservatives vs libertarian/social liberal conservatives who don’t want the government involved in anything.  So the conclusion of the GOP race is, the GOP has no solid identity anymore, and cannot gather a coherent national campaign.

Meaning, the fate of Iranian nuclear weapons is going to be an Obama administration decision.   Moving ahead, Obama will observe a few things:

First, it should not be a debate whether or not Iran has nuclear ambitions.  Of course they do.  A nation, like Iran, does not develop nuclear rods specifically designed for making weaponized uranium unless they intend on making a nuclear weapon.  Iran wants one, they are going after making one, and arguing about whether that is true or not is really wasting human capitol.  They simply want Nukes!!

Second, there is still time, but it is running out.  As a result, the US has five real options.

Option1:  Accept a nuclear Iran and incorporate them into the international leaders all of which whom act relatively rational, with the exception of a few occasions.
Option 2:  Strike and create an incredible blow back effect, which NATO really cannot afford.
Option 3:  The US can aid insurgent forces inside Iran, to use subversion to be inside Iran’s nuclear program and attempt to control it from within the Government.
Option 4:  Diplomacy, AID, economic coercion to deter Iran’s efforts. Has not worked yet, and probably will not offer the remedy’s we want. Its unlikely this effort will deter their Nuclear ambitions, because they are seeking advancement of their own security, and Iran sees that Nuclear weapons has worked very well for Pakistan and North Korea as a security enhancement tool.
Option 5: International effort for invasion, pacification, and regime change.

 YIKES!!!! All of the above options are as horrible as each other, and frankly, the situation offers little resolve for positive outcomes favorable to the US hegemonic ideals. So, what is Obama and company going to do?

Who knows?  However, there are only two real options to choose from, and the options are 1, and 2, Its likely the US will be forced to accept a nuclear Iran because the consequences of striking are worse than the potential threat of Iran having the weapons.  The reason being is the delivery system, just because Iran may possess weapons, doesn’t mean that they can deliver them in missile form that is existential to the US.  Obviously, the US will calculate this into the equation. IN conclusion, if this occurs, and if Iran does get nuclear weapons, it is one more strike against the US and proof of our declining global power.

The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of RT.