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“Russians are making a tactical mistake” – US expert
Published: 30 December, 2009, 01:09
Edited: 17 September, 2010, 22:55
TAGS: Arms, Military, Nuclear, Russia, Politics, USA
The change Barack Obama proposed for the ABM systems in Europe is much more tailored for the Middle Eastern missile threat, says policy analyst Ivan Oelrich, the president of the American Federation of Scientists.
“The system that the US wants to place in Europe would have very little capability against Russian missiles, but still the missile defence in Alaska and California are still there and at least the Missile Defence Office in the US claims that they would have some capability against a few Russian missiles,” Ivan Oelrich said, and added that “Russians are concerned about what the system in Europe might grow into in the future, I don’t think that they are concerned about what today’s plans are and what tomorrow’s plans might be.”
Oelrich said the missile defence would cost the US more politically and financially than it is worth because any country that has the necessary technological sophistication, like Russia or China, can quickly introduce measures to outplay the system.
The whole ballistic missile defence system project is a legacy of the Reagan era, said Oelrich, and it is nearly impossible to scrap it for political reasons because it is very dear to conservatives in the Senate. It would be impossible to ratify a new START treaty and forget about the missile defence at the same time, Oelrich predicted.
“Russians are making a tactical mistake because they are making a big deal out of something that simply won’t work… Bush spent billions on that [missile defence] project, they officially thought it would work while scientists outside government are quite skeptical about whether it will work.”
“In the end, Russians are going to get a deal giving up something valuable in exchange for something that is not very valuable [for the US] – the missile defence system.”
Ivan Oelrich came to the conclusion that “the real and only danger here is that the [US missile defence] system would only work against the Russian attack if it were done with the remnants of the Russian nuclear attack after a first strike by the United States. What the United States and Russia have to do is to make such attacks impossible by taking the weapons off their alert – that would solve the problem.”
30.12.2009, 00:41
3 comments
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Folks US expert,policy analyst Ivan Oelrich, the president of the American Federation of Scientists.-- is telling Russian leadership and citizens something very important! --“Russians are making a tactical mistake”-"real and only danger here is that the [US missile defence] system would only work against the Russian attack if it were done with the remnants of the Russian nuclear attack "afte" "a first strike by the United States".-U--S stated policy towards RF,world is: "First Strike" so RF would not be able to get off a RETALIATION! ----the American Federation of Scientists is made up of nuke scientist who work on how to ELIMINATE RUSSIA, AND OTHERS THAT HAVE OIL,GAS,MINERALS, NATURAL ASSETS, LIKE LARGEST "FRESHWATER" LAKE -DRINKABLE WATER SUPPLY IN WORLD,WHICH IS WHAT THE NEXT WARS WILL BE FOUGHT OVER!. US TRACK RECORD-TAKE WHAT YOU WANT BY FORCE-OCCUPY WHAT YOU WANT. - RUSSIA?!! JOKE IN US: WHAT IS SAUDIS OIL DOING UNDER OUR SAND? NUKE MULTI HEADED- MISSILES IN KALINIGRAD [SP] - S-500'S LOTS OF BOTH NEXT TO RUSSIAN HATER POLAND, POINTED AT US,-THEIR ALLIES!
noyes Defense is the most important topic for any country and I cannot see why Russia is any different. Russia seems to be getting lot of conflicting messages on this: Russia had been advised that it should not develop counter measures to the U.S Star wars because, supposedly the Star Wars technology is fake- not accurate, semi accurate, incomplete. Some are now telling Russia to make more farm equipments-even when the U.S continue to push NATO and Star Wars right to Russia’s border- and when the U.S spends more in defense than the entire world!Do you think Russians cannot see glaring gap between their investment in defense and the U.S investment in defense? Imagine if Iraq had the right weapons to defend itself in 2003----? Alas.
Poor Nuta What do you think that useless French war-ship will bring to Russia' s defense. Absolutely NOTHING ! France is broke and desperately needs money. That is all...The future of mankind require a complete boycott of everything being NATO-American made, to wake-up the silent US-Europe's majority and make her clean-up, once and for all the planetary mess made by just a few thousands greedy creeps (not all US citizen) protected by a huge military machine and representing less than 10% of Humanity. Then, pragmatic as they are, after getting ride of those crooks, America will become a decent nation and participate in resolving the many challenges to which mankind is confronted. To start on this road an harmonious BRIC union is imperative. As far as I can see, the main Russian mistake is: not confronting the facts and explaining the sad realities to the whole Humanity. Sweet talking with the "uncle Tom" N-PiPO Obama will lead nowhere...Just wait and see ! Sorry Future Generations ! JCM