What’s next for the US war in Afghanistan?
Published: 26 June, 2010, 02:54
Edited: 26 June, 2010, 22:52
Many are wondering how the switch from Gen. McChrystal to Gen. Petraeus will affect the policy and strategy in Afghanistan.
An immediate change will be a rapid rise in the death and maiming of Afghan men, women and children as the Americans now raze Afghani villages to the ground in order not to "lose the war".
American military often claims that the reason they lost the Vietnam war was because they were not as brutal as they should have been with the Vietnamese people. The American military is now adamant that this mistake will not be repeated in Afghanistan. I expect the Americans will end up killing millions of Afghans in their scorched earth to stave off defeat. The Germans tries these scorched earth tactics during their occupation of Russia and failed. Now, the Americans want to set the record straight that if a foreign invader kills the occupied people without conscience of guilt, victory is sure to follow. We will see how successful the Americans will be in this bloody affair.










The normal advice is, when in a hole, stop digging! So what is next; more war, more deaths, both military and civilian, more corruption, more drugs, more dysfunctional government, more foreign influence and intervention (Read just about everyone, for a bit of the cash action and Iran and Pakistan for the political action). It's an absolute mess, a self made quagmire. More importantly, what will be the outcome and when. Well I suppose if the US put nearly all their military resources in, attacked all the countries that help support this mess from the other side (who complement the western forces causing the mess from the western side). Then after a mega regional war, you may just get a state of imperial control that would calm things down. But there are some downsides and risks here. Maybe it could even get bigger, and the game is totally lost from a western perspective - China town USA. But the US is smarter than that (I hope!), so probably it will be a face saving effort of train and contain. Basically train the Afghans to look after themselves in the western created mess, and leave it be. Then contain any Afghan originated global terrorist exports. that have been innovatively developed alongside drugs by the west. The Opium Valley and Terrorist Valley approach. Basically control the movement of people and materials and keep on Bombing from outside any increasing threats. But the train and contain needs something to make it work, and that something is cooperation with the rest of the world, and a movement away from the go it alone policy previously followed. None of this is a bad thing, it builds a true consistent policy in the world and ends western hyocrisy, as the west is forced to call all terrorists, terrorists, there is no good one. It also leaves Afghanistan sort itself out, acknowledging that the west, created many of those problems. But the creator of the problem, is not the right solver, because of mindset, everyone knows that.