Will US Republicans shoot down START treaty?
Published: 08 April, 2010, 18:42
Edited: 09 April, 2010, 23:00
President Barack Obama, on a political roll after passing his healthcare reform legislation, is set to face severe Senate scrutiny over his administration’s arms-reduction treaty with Russia.
Well if the Republican's oppose this treaty it won't be the first time that domestic politics and imperial delusions have combined to open up the road to disaster. What they object to is not that the treaty has been signed but that it has been signed by Obama. And it is certainly possible that they will not object strenuously. They intend to hang the health care reform around Obama's neck. And real opposition to this treaty will muddy those waters. Obama will counter that Republicans are the 'Just say No' party. So after some unkind words about the treaty the Republican's may then move on.
Given that the senate can pass a normal law with only 60 votes (should be 50, but that is another story in American dysfunctionality), and given that a normal law has the same legal authority in the US as a treaty does, it seems ridiculous to me that we couldn't simply pass a law that enforces the articles of a treaty without actually calling it a treaty and thereby bypass the necessity of a 2/3rds majority. However, I suppose requiring 2/3rds support for treaty makes us more honest because if a treaty has that much support it is far less likely to get repealed because it needs to have overwhelming and bipartisan support before we commit ourselves to it.. The concession I heard that was to be given to the republicans in order to obtain their support for this treaty was that America would "modernize" its nuclear arsenal, which basically means we would come up with new state-the-art nuclear weapons. Along this line of thought, and some others that were notable, it would be more rational for START treaties put limitations on the destructive power of the countries arsenals instead of or alongside limitations on the actual numbers of weapons that are allowed to be had because otherwise a loophole allowing inequity, though it wouldn't be the only one, is established. One way I have heard this treaty described is that Russia was going to reduce its arsenal anyway because its expensive, more than sufficient, and takes funding from conventional forces, and by having a treaty Russia can get what are therefore in effect free concessions from the US. At any rate, I expect this treaty to be passed in the US, but we will have a better idea of whether or not it will be after the Obama administration briefs the senate; much of the Republicans' complaints have been that they just want information on things like verification.










Senate Republicans are in the mood to block anything coming from this president, just on "general principles". They have already held up numerous appointments the president wanted to make, although I think he and the Democrats pulled some sneaky maneuvers to get some people appointed to senior government positions. It makes good TV for the folks back home, especially if the Senators come from strongly anti-Obama states. There is a signed treaty, and then there is ratification. We will have to wait and see what happens.