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Sanctions against North Korea unlikely to work
Published: 25 May, 2010, 03:39
Edited: 25 May, 2010, 14:04
TAGS: Conflict, Nuclear, UN, North Korea, USA
South Korea has cut off trading with North Korea and is threatening to take the country before the UN in retribution for a torpedo attack on a South Korean navy ship that killed 46 sailors.
Sanctions are not likely to make an impact on North Korea, at least not a large one capable of achieving the results South Korea and its ally the United States would like to see.
“North Korea does seem to care very deeply about its international image, so if nothing else, additional sanctions have an important symbolic impact on the calculations of future activities by the North Korean leaders,” said Denny Roy, a security expert from the East-West Center in Honolulu.
Many of North Korea's actions are considered rogue, however, the nation does not like to be categorized as a rogue nation.
“They have actually responded well in the past to gestures that seem to show them some respect and very negatively to gestures that show them disrespect,” said Roy.
Although South Korea is North Korea’s second largest trading partner, the cessation of trade will likely have little impact on North Korea. Simply put, sanctions are not likely to have the level of impact desired. Their greatest impact will be symbolic, said Roy, but it is not going to be enough to illicit change on the part of the North Koreans.
“I don’t think that this next round of sanctions will be successful in getting North Korea to change the key policies that the United States and South Korea want them to change, namely in the short term an apology for the Cheonan sinking and in the long term, an agreement to de-nuclearize,” said Roy.
The incidents have also forced other politicians in the Asia-Pacific region to adjust their policies. It may have been a factor in the decision by Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama to retain the US military base in Okinawa, although moving the base off the island had been a key promise of his election campaign.
25.05.2010, 01:52
1 comment
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I am getting absolutely frustrated with South Korea they have always blamed North Korea for everything and every smallest problem presented to them since they split from the South, First the North allegedly starts dropping nukes from below the ground in North Korea a couple of years back, and the world sees a large tremor from North Korea, could it be possible it may have been a genuine earthquake. Also what makes me mad is whenever North Korea does the smallest thing wrong the whole world freezes trade and economical advancements with North Korea, The Unites States have always done this to the world's most reclusive country, for which there is no reason. Again more Cold-War paranoia from both South Korea and the United States, just like the way that Russia has been mostly a victim of for the past twenty odd years. Now North Korea gets blamed for the apparent sinking of this Warship, again could it be possible a large munition blew up on board this vessel and in the event sank this Warship and a North Korea Ship was only there innocently (Western Media please keep an open mind), and thus creating another annoying Cold-War paranoia scenario here. Almost anyone around the world that is not part of the United States friends list is made an enemy all of the time this is so childish and immature, If the United States wishes to know more about North Korea they would have to have a good sit down together and work out their differences once and for all, also with the addition of South Korea and hopefully with Russia as a mediator, one can only dream I suppose. As for sanctions this is terrible misuse of power and leverage, as this is so counter-productive how is North Korea going to survive financially and economically, just like what they always do to Iran.
This is what happens when a nation is put on to many sanctions, the only ones suffering the people themselves. Take away the sanctions, re-establish normal connections with the country and start treating it as an adult or the next thing that will happens is a North Korea that will choice an all out war cause that is really the only option left for North Korea. Also there has been several North Korean sailors killed over the years and no official excuse has been issued to North Korea and their family's, if it has escaped the worlds leaders, North Koreans are people too believe it or not. But its as with everything else in this world I guess F.U.B.A.R or maybe Genocide. If I where North Korea I would feel forced to act like a baby as I'm treated as one when they are not.
Sanctions,since when have they worked,Humans you cant change ,we are the lowest form of animal life on the planet.Animals kill for food .we kill because we assume our culture is the superior culture on the planet.and we have our own delusions of importance.