US meddling has ensured Maduro stays in power

By Rachel Marsden, a columnist, political strategist, and host of independently produced talk-shows in French and English.

7 Sep, 2024 20:52 / Updated 3 months ago
Washington demands proof that the Venezuelan president really won the election – why should he bother?

The West wants recently re-elected Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro to prove that he actually won. He doesn’t have to prove anything; endless Western interventionist shenanigans in Venezuelan domestic affairs have virtually guaranteed that to be the case. 

“If Maduro insists on saying he has won and does not want to understand that, for the international community, without verification, there is no assumption of results, Venezuela could enter a serious crisis – we are all trying to prevent this from happening,” said European Union chief diplomat Josep Borrell. The US State Department, meanwhile, said that the international community was running out of patience in waiting for the electoral proof. They’re all demanding answers now, as in-country opposition protests persist. Or what? You’ll threaten to regime change Maduro? You’ll rally government-linked NGO fronts against him? You’ll send some proxies over to do your dirty work for you? You’ll name some random dude as your chosen president and demand that your allies around the world treat him like he’s the real leader of the country? 

All these things have been tried already. And the very fact that they have is precisely why it’s virtually impossible for the West to mount a credible case against Maduro. There has been enough blatantly overt foreign intervention to plant reasonable doubt in the minds of a critical mass of Venezuelans about the motives and connections of any opposition. 

Even if they don’t particularly like Maduro, let’s face it – what’s even more off-putting is foreigners mucking around and telling them what to do. It’s like when you’re dating a bit of a douchebag and your friends and family keep telling you to dump him. Who do they think they are? You’ll dump him on your own terms when you’re good and ready. 

If Maduro is going to face off against opposition protests, he needs to do it alone for the sake of all involved. Because any foreign involvement – rhetorical, military, economic, or otherwise – is just going to lead to a result that lacks any credibility in the eyes of Venezuelans.

It’s not like anyone in Washington would give a toss about Venezuela if it wasn’t a target for resource plundering. It’s all so predictable. Since Maduro hasn’t made that plundering sufficiently Western-friendly, they’d like to replace him with someone who would.

Oh, and spare me the human rights and economic suffering arguments. If that was the real concern, then there are a lot of other countries without resources that Washington could obsess about “saving”. If they really cared about the people, they wouldn’t impose endless sanctions in an attempt to make the average Venezuelan so desperate as to resort to regime change.  

It was thanks to former US President Donald Trump – whose theme song for his former TV show, The Apprentice, had just a single word in its chorus: “money” –  that the intentions were laid bare. Trump says that he hates foreign wars. He loves other countries’ resources though. Which is why he pulled US troops out of Syria while still maintaining enough of a presence to keep the oil. Trump said recently in an interview with Elon Musk on the X Platform that he was miffed about Biden lifting sanctions on the Nord Stream pipeline of cheap Russian gas into Europe because the Trump administration had plans to make a fortune for the US selling gas to Europe instead. 

Trump’s former National Security Advisor John Bolton wrote in his memoir, “The Room Where It Happened”, that Trump told him to “get it done,” referring to ousting Maduro, adding that it was the fifth time that he had asked for it — like a butler who hadn’t yet brought him his Diet Coke. The US “should take the oil in Venezuela after ousting Maduro,” Trump said, according to Bolton.

Over the course of Trump’s term, the administration had a bounty of up to $15 million placed on Maduro for “narco-terrorism, conspiracy to import cocaine, possession of machine guns and destructive devices, and conspiracy to possess machine guns and destructive devices” – a profile far more aligned with FARC actors in US-allied Colombia, which also hosted the handpicked fake “President” named by the West, Juan Guaido, and his acolytes.

Colombia was also the launching pad for mercenaries plotting incursions into Venezuela during the Trump administration. One of them was an ex-Venezuelan general who also supplied the FARC with weapons. Just last month, a former US Green Beret, Jordan Goudreau, owner of a Florida-based private security outfit called Silvercorp USA, was federally charged with violating US arms control laws for allegedly bringing American weapons to Colombia to stage a mercenary incursion to oust Maduro in 2020 — a plan called “Operation Guideon”, which ultimately failed and landed him in a Venezuelan prison. Surely it’s just a coincidence that he also accompanied Trump’s longtime bodyguard, Keith Schiller, to a meeting with Guaido’s reps in Miami, according to the Associated Press. If he had been successful at regime change and not an embarrassment for the US and tied to Trump’s mandate, would the Biden administration have charged him?

Earlier this month, Erik Prince, the founder of the former US private military contractor Blackwater and an overt Trump supporter, popped up in a video on the X Platform with an intro that looks like the product of about five minutes of Duolingo Spanish. Sitting in front of a cross and sporting a shirt emblazoned with “Venezuelan Resistance”, with Venezuela pictured in red crosshairs, Prince said that the opposition’s “friends from the North” were “coming soon.” That’s great for low-cost personal branding and buzz; not so great for actual covert action. But it’s just more evidence that Venezuela has become a trendy backdrop for neocon interventionist tourism in the same way that influencers flock to Dubai for bikini shots.

Team Biden doesn’t seem any less determined than Trump was to oust Maduro – the offer of the cash reward for his capture is still posted on the State Department’s website – but since every trick has seemingly already been tried unsuccessfully, they seem to be at a loss for options. The White House even had to deny reports of an offer not to pursue Maduro criminally for those “narco-terrorism” charges if he just quietly bails out of power. Even if there was any truth to it, outright public blackmail or bribery by the White House of a non-bootlicking president of a resource-rich country probably wouldn’t be a great look.

Thanks to Washington and its allies, it’s now virtually impossible to ascertain what’s really going on in Venezuela, or how much of the opposition to Maduro is organic. Why would Maduro even bother trying to prove anything to his Western critics, on demand? As if there’s anything that he could provide to them to which they’d just say, “Yeah, ok. Fair enough. Carry on, then.” If anything, the West has guaranteed Maduro a longevity that he may not have enjoyed had they not muddied the waters so badly for the average Venezuelan voter under the eyes of the entire world.