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16 Jul, 2024 00:00

Poll suggests growing number of Ukrainians want peace talks

Almost 44% of respondents to a survey believe the time for negotiations with Russia has come
Poll suggests growing number of Ukrainians want peace talks

A significant portion of Ukrainians support the idea of launching “official peace talks” with Russia, a new survey has suggested. However, an absolute majority are still not ready to make concessions to Moscow and believe Kiev could prevail in the conflict, according to the survey data.

According to the research, conducted by the Razumkov Center for Political and Economic Studies on behalf of the ZN.ua news outlet between June 20 and 28, nearly 44% of respondents believe “it is time” to engage in talks with Moscow. The idea is opposed by 35% of Ukrainians, while 21% remain undecided on the issue.

When asked about potential concessions that Kiev could make during the talks, particularly those proposed by Russia, respondents appeared unwilling to consider any compromises.

Moscow has repeatedly stated that it is ready for talks if certain issues are addressed. Russian President Vladimir Putin has outlined his conditions for initiating a ceasefire, including a full withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from all Russian territories, including the Donbass republics of Donetsk and Lugansk, and the regions of Kherson and Zaporozhye, as well as a legal commitment from Kiev to never join NATO.

Over 80% of respondents would not agree to the withdrawal of troops from former Ukrainian territories, and 84% would oppose recognizing those regions as part of Russia. Around 77% also oppose lifting sanctions imposed on Russia.

More than half of Ukrainians (51.5%) also named Kiev regaining all the territories it claims as a “minimal necessary condition” for a peace agreement. These include not just the four former Ukrainian territories that joined Russia in 2022 but also the Crimean Peninsula, which has been part of Russia since 2014. Some 25% of respondents said it would be sufficient to return to the early 2022 borders. Only 9% of Ukrainians said they would agree to a new border between Russia and Ukraine along the current frontline, conditions set in stone by Moscow.

As many as 61.1% also stated they would not be ready to “give up anything” during the talks with Russia. More than 65% still believe that Kiev can achieve victory on the battlefield.

However, regarding personal participation in the conflict, more than 46% of respondents said there was “no shame” in dodging conscription. This position was particularly popular among younger people. Ukrainian media have repeatedly reported that the nation’s mobilization campaign has been marred by widespread draft dodging and corruption, as well as attempts to flee the country.

Most Ukrainians believe that Kiev would have gained the upper hand in the conflict had its Western backers provided “enough weapons” (82%) or sent their own forces to fight Russia (69.1%).

Moscow has repeatedly stated that Western arms shipments only prolong the conflict without changing its outcome, and warned that a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO could lead to World War III.

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