Scottish voters have said ‘No’ to independence from UK.
This map indicates where people predominantly tweeted either in favor of independence or to stay in the union.
20 September 2014
Eleven people have been arrested following a Glasgow 'Yes' voters rally following the Scottish independence results that ran against their interests.
Chief Superintendent Andy Bates, local policing commander for Greater Glasgow, told The Scotsman: “More than 700 people gathered in George Square last night and there have been 11 arrests for various offenses including disorder, breach of the peace and vandalism."
“An investigation into Friday night’s disorder has begun and an incident room has been set up at Glasgow city center police office, staffed by officers dedicated to identifying and arresting anyone involved in the ugly scenes witnessed across the world on television and social media," he said.
A march of Scotland's independence supporters in Glasgow has been planned for Saturday night, according to Channel 4.
19 September 2014
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A would-be rioter runs after hurling a Starbucks chair down Buchanan Street. #indyref#glasgow#Scotlandpic.twitter.com/GC2qQdSMJm
— Jon Brady (@jonfaec) September 19, 2014
Sporadic scenes of violence in Glasgow’s streets are being reported on Twitter. However, local police report “very little fighting or damage and no use of ambulances,” according to Channel 4.
Unconfirmed allegations on Twitter said that the offices of the pro-independence Scottish Herald newspaper have been torched, while others suggest a generator has been set alight outside the building.
Running battles on the streets of Glasgow post referendum result. #Glasgow#indyref#Scotlandpic.twitter.com/E7laPp7Xkc
— Roddy Scott (@theroddyscott) September 19, 2014
Glasgow rioters set generator alight outside rear of The Herald building; fire service now in attendance pic.twitter.com/Bp4aLN3lAR
— Jonathan Coates (@JonCoates) September 19, 2014
Pro-independence supporters appear to have left Glasgow’s George Square, while about 30 unionists could be seen singing and waving Union Jack flags on RT’s Ruptly agency’s live feed.
Police have been cordoning off and pushing back particularly rowdy groups of protesters.
Clashes broke out in central Glasgow as rival rallies of union supporters and pro-independence protesters met on George Square.
Police struggled to control a mass pro-union rally chanting “Rule Britannia,” which earlier started as a march through the city celebrating the rejection of Scottish independence, according to the Independent.
Around 6 p.m., a standoff between the unionists and supporters of independence took place on George Square, prompting police to detain several protesters.
Scottish Referendum: Police separate rival voters protest in Glasgow city centre http://t.co/8zOctl3Td2pic.twitter.com/uEJmzqsvgk
— Independent.ie (@Independent_ie) September 19, 2014
Police Scotland: 3 arrests following clashes in Glasgow's George Square, more may come as investigation continues, per @RadioClydeNews
— David Wyllie (@journodave) September 19, 2014
WATCH RUPTLY's LIVE FEED FROM THE SCENE
Alex Salmond has announced he will resign from the Scottish National Party and as Scotland's First Minister in November when a new SNP leader will be chosen.
It comes after voters in Scotland rejected independence in a historic referendum - 55 percent of the electorate have voted “No.”
"It has been the privilege of my life to serve Scotland as first minister," Salmond said. "But as I said often during the referendum campaign this is not about me or the SNP. It is much more important than that.
"The position is this. We lost the referendum vote but can still carry the political initiative. More importantly Scotland can still emerge as the real winner."
However, he emphasized that he will not retire from Scottish politics altogether. "There are a large number of things you are able to do when you're not first minister or leader of a political party," he said.
He concluded his resignation speech in Edinburgh by saying: "We lost the referendum vote but Scotland can still carry the political initiative. For me as leader my time is nearly over but for Scotland the campaign continues and the dream shall never die."
A statement from @AlexSalmondhttp://t.co/RcCm5xNqddpic.twitter.com/vzbXkqsS3U
— Alex Salmond (@AlexSalmond) September 19, 2014
The White House has just released a statement on behalf of President Barack Obama, welcoming the outcome of the referendum.
“We welcome the result of yesterday’s referendum on Scottish independence and congratulate the people of Scotland for their full and energetic exercise of democracy. Through debate, discussion, and passionate yet peaceful deliberations, they reminded the world of Scotland’s enormous contributions to the UK and the world, and have spoken in favor of keeping Scotland within the United Kingdom.
“We have no closer ally than the United Kingdom, and we look forward to continuing our strong and special relationship with all the people of Great Britain and Northern Ireland as we address the challenges facing the world today.”
Here's what the White House tweeted before the polls opened:
The UK is an extraordinary partner for America and a force for good in an unstable world. I hope it remains strong, robust and united. -bo
— The White House (@WhiteHouse) September 17, 2014
Jamie Livingstone, the head of Oxfam Scotland, said "Let's build a fairer country."
"In the run up to the referendum, people engaged in vibrant discussions about what type of country they want for themselves, their families, their communities and for the country as a whole," Livingstone said.
"Over the coming months, we must build on this extraordinary level of public engagement to build a fairer and more equal country which delivers a decent standard of living for everyone, not just a wealthy and powerful minority.
"As we know from our work with partners in Scotland, too many people in Scotland - including a scandalous number of children - live in poverty: this cannot continue."
My comments for @OxfamScotland on the #indyref: "We must build a fairer and more equal country": http://t.co/f3b3dBceCP
— Jamie Livingstone (@JamiePolitics) September 19, 2014
The Scottish 'no' vote on independence doesn't seem to be a setback for Catalonia's own separatist movement.
The Catalan president, Artur Mas, said on Friday he would sign a decree law to call a November 9 vote on independence from Spain; a move vigorously opposed by Madrid.
"I will sign the decree for the consultation in Catalonia, in fact I will call this consultation for Nov. 9 as agreed some months ago with the majority of Catalan political forces," he said.
In an interview with the BBC, UKIP leader Nigel Farage called for a federalized UK. He said that Scottish MPs shouldn’t debate or vote in the House of Commons on English devolved issues.
“I think we really do need to have a constitutional convention how a fair federal United Kingdom would work,” he said.
Mr Farage said: "I think England needs a voice - we've heard a lot from Scotland. But the tail cannot go on wagging the dog any longer.
"We must have English MPs voting on English only matters."
The Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy welcomed Scotland's decision to remain part of the United Kingdom, saying it was the best outcome for Europe.
"The Scottish have avoided serious economic, social, institutional and political consequences," Rajoy said in a two-minute video message posted on the government's website on Friday.
"They have chosen the most favourable option for everyone; for themselves, for all of Britain and for the rest of Europe."
Spain's government has been trying to halt an independence movement in the country's north-eastern region of Catalonia. Rajoy did not mention Catalonia in his address.
Catalonia's regional government hopes to hold a referendum on independence on November 9, which has been declared unconstitutional and therefore illegal by the central government in Madrid.
EU officials mostly kept quiet in the run-up to Thursday's referendum, but have expressed undisguised relief as soon as the Scottish "No" was certain. However, some are concerned that the Scottish independence referendum could boost other separatist movements in Europe.
The president of the European Parliament, German Social Democrat Martin Schulz, told Deutschlandfunk radio that while he had refrained from commenting on an internal British matter before the vote, he was "relieved by the result."
Asked about the EU's stance on independence movements in regions like Catalonia in Spain and Flanders in Belgium, Schulz said: "The EU has the problem that it must keep the 28 sovereign states together. I don't think it's possible to expect EU institutions to resolve from Brussels domestic problems such as regional politics, calls for autonomy and ethnic differences."
However, Brussels would have to review treaty provisions for newly declared independent states wanting to join the EU because "if Scotland had declared independence today then all the other 28 current member states including England ... would have had to vote against Scotland joining."
Separatist movements in Europe were often fuelled by "social inequality and a wealth gap, where richer regions say we don't want to pay to support other regions," as well as unemployment, income inequality and rural poverty, Schulz said.
Figures from Lord Ashcroft look at how people voted by age and political persuasion.
Of those aged 16 and 17 - who were given the vote for the first time - 71 percent voted yes compared to 29 percent no, according to his figures.
Most of the no voters were aged 65 and above, with 73 percent voting no, and 27 percent voting yes.
Of those who voted Conservative in the 2011 Scottish elections, 95 percent voted no and 5 percent voted for independence. For Labour voters those figures were 63 percent and 37 percent. Of SNP voters 86 percent voted yes and 14 percent voted against Scottish independence.
How they voted: 16-17 year-olds 71-29 for YES, 65+ 73-27 for NO. Labour voters 63-37 for NO. pic.twitter.com/lnFap4E3Pm
— Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) September 19, 2014
Most people who voted in favor of independence were motivated by their disaffection with Westminster and the NHS. The majority of people voting to stay in the union did so because of the pound and pensions.
YES voters most motivated by anti-Westminster feeling and the NHS; NO voters by the currency and pensions: pic.twitter.com/OFpMwE2e7h
— Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) September 19, 2014
Royal Dutch Shell, commonly known as Shell, welcomed the Scotland no vote “which reduces the operating uncertainty for businesses based in Scotland,” the company said in a statement.
"Shell will continue to work closely with both the UK and Scottish governments to help the industry deliver vital energy supplies through investment in the UK's oil and gas resources," Royal Dutch Shell CEO Ben van Beurden said. "We look forward to continuing our proud association with Scotland."
Jose Manuel Barroso, the president of the European Commission, has welcomed the result in Scotland.
“I welcome the decision of the Scottish people to maintain the unity of the United Kingdom. This outcome is good for the united, open and stronger Europe that the European commission stands for.
“The European Commission welcomes the fact that during the debate over the past years, the Scottish government and the Scottish people have repeatedly reaffirmed their European commitment.
"The European Commission will continue to engage in a constructive dialogue with the Scottish Government, in areas under its responsibility, that are important to Scotland's future, including jobs and growth, energy, climate change and the environment, and smarter regulation."
I welcome the decision of the #Scottish people to maintain the #unity of the #UK. Here is my statement: http://t.co/XmqrVJeC05
— José Manuel Barroso (@BarrosoEU) September 19, 2014
Nigel Farage, the Ukip leader, is renewing his call for a constitutional convention. Earlier today he tweeted: "I'm delighted we still have a United Kingdom #indyref"
However, he now calls for a "full, proper national debate about the democratic future of England." Farage said that he doubts Cameron seriously wants to address English democracy.
All I’ve heard from Mr Cameron is that William Hague will head up some committee to discuss the English question & don’t think that’s enough
— Nigel Farage (@Nigel_Farage) September 19, 2014
Scottish independence would have been "cataclysmic" for Europe, spurring separatism elsewhere and creating an "ungovernable" continent of rival nationalisms, a senior European Union official said on Friday.
In one of the first comments from a European commissioner following the referendum, trade chief Karel De Gucht told Belgium's VRT radio he had feared a Yes vote.
Soviet Union effect?
"If it had happened in Scotland, I think it would have been a political landslide on the scale of the break-up of the Soviet Union."
"It would have been cataclysmic for Europe. That was what I feared. […] A Europe driven by self-determination of peoples ... is ungovernable because you’d have dozens of entities but areas of policy for which you need unanimity or a very large majority.
"Moreover it’s about countries, or parts of former countries, that would behave in a very nationalistic way."
The president of the European Commission, Jose Manuel Barroso, is expected to give a reaction to the Scottish vote later on Friday.
So what's next? The moment Better Together gained victory, people questioned what the future relationship between Scotland and the rest of the UK will look like. The question of what further devolution between the states will look like is now imminent.
William Hague said there was a "very clear commitment" to the Scottish reforms, but he argued that the English question had to be resolved at the same time.
"I think it would be inconceivable to go ahead with a further important stage and measure of devolution to parts of the United Kingdom, without addressing this issue," he told the BBC.
"Of course it's been an anomaly for quite a long time now that Scottish MPs can vote on everything happening in England, but we the English MPs can no longer do so in Scotland, and indeed nor can the Scottish.
"But it will become absolutely acute - it will become absolutely indefensible with further devolution - and I think people need to know at the time of the general election next May where we all stand on that, whether we've tried to reach an agreement, and if not, it's something they can decide on in the general election."
The head of the British employers’ organisation, the CBI (Confederation of British Industry), said businesses would welcome the result with a “collective sigh of relief.”
John Cridland said in a statement: “Business has always believed that the union is best for creating jobs, raising growth and improving living standards, and welcomes that the people of Scotland want to play an integral role in this internationally successful partnership.”
He said, however, that further devolution should “not undermine the strength of the single internal market.” He called on politicians, businesses and citizens to work together to help heal the “inevitable scars” from the campaign.
“Now is also the time to rebuild relationships outside the UK to reassure international investors and other partners that we will emerge stronger and more confident in the months and years ahead.”
Labour leader Ed Miliband has also expressed his "delight" at the result this morning that the union will remain intact.
He tweeted: "I am delighted and proud that the people of Scotland have made this historic decision to stay."
Our United Kingdom is stronger today than it was yesterday.
— Ed Miliband (@Ed_Miliband) September 19, 2014
The final turnout figure in the Scottish independence referendum set a record.
Turnout in the referendum on Scottish independence hit a record high for any election held in the United Kingdom since the introduction of universal suffrage in 1918, the Press Association reports.
The participation rate of 84.5 percent topped the previous best of 83.9 percent recorded in the 1950 general election and dwarfed the tallies in recent Westminster polls, which saw 65.1 percent vote in 2010 and 61.4 percent in 2005.
Alex Salmond conceded defeat in his fight for Scottish independence.
He gave an emotional speech in Edinburgh, moments after Better Together celebrated victory.
The Scottish National Party leader said that he accepted "the democratic verdict of the people" and called on everyone else to do the same.
"I accept that verdict of the people and I call on all of Scotland to follow suit in accepting the democratic verdict of the people of Scotland."
Around 55 percent of Scots voted to stay part of the United Kingdom, while 45 percent wanted independence. Salmond said that this meant that the country did not want independence "at this stage."
Let's not dwell on the distance we've fallen short - let us dwell on the distance we have travelled
— Alex Salmond (@AlexSalmond) September 19, 2014
Scotland votes for union with the UK as the last council says ‘No’ to independence.
Highland was the last council to reveal its results. 78,069 (47 percent) said ‘No’, while 87,739 (53 percent) voted for Independent Scotland.
Was it only 24hours ago that I was queuing up outside Moffat Town Hall to vote? As we have seen a long time in Scottish politics!
— David Mundell MP (@DavidMundellMP) September 19, 2014
Highland Council about to declare result, putting the puncture in punctuality #indyref
— Martyn McLaughlin (@MartynMcL) September 19, 2014
“Whatever the promises made are, they have to be honored and we have to respect that a lot of Scottish people voted for separation and that's all got to be addressed,” believes Bernard Jenkin, the sitting MP for Harwich and North Essex.
"But what is right for Scotland is also right for England, and I think the prime minister should engage much more with his MPs because in fact his MPs represent a majority of constituencies in England," he added.
My YES friends, let's turn our passion towards ensuring the Devo Max promises the Westminster establishment have made to us are delivered
— Alan Cumming (@Alancumming) September 19, 2014
"Although the election is a clear win for the 'No' vote, support for independence is roughly 10 percent higher than polls indicated six months ago,” said Michael Saunders, an economist with Citigroup.
He added that the support “is sufficiently high that the referendum is likely to be followed by a 'neverendum' scenario - in which there are ongoing calls for a further referendum in coming years."
In last 24 hours, 3,623,344 Scots voted. Some will be ecstatic, others unable to face a new day. But pride should unite them. #indyref
— Martyn McLaughlin (@MartynMcL) September 19, 2014
"The companies I speak to are clear that this cannot simply be the first in a series of referenda, until one side or the other gets the result that it wants.” John Longworth, head of the British Chambers of Commerce.
“Business and investment prospects across the UK would be deeply hurt by a Quebec-style 'neverendum' - a lesson that politicians must heed," he added.
Our United Kingdom is stronger today than it was yesterday.
— Ed Miliband (@Ed_Miliband) September 19, 2014
I am delighted and proud that the people of Scotland have made this historic decision to stay.
— Ed Miliband (@Ed_Miliband) September 19, 2014
We have heard the voice of Scotland and now the millions of voices of England must also be heard. #IndyRef
— David Cameron (@David_Cameron) September 19, 2014
“It’s time for our United Kingdom to come together and move forwards,” said David Cameron. “I am a passionate believer in our United Kingdom.”
Cameron thanked participants of both the ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ campaigns.
"The people of Scotland have spoken and it is a clear result. They have kept our country of four nations together and, like millions of other people, I am delighted."
Cameron said that he is delighted that the people of Scotland have voted to keep the UK together.
"It was right that we respected the SNP's majority in Holyrood and gave the Scottish people the right to have their say,” he said, "There can be no disputes. No re-runs. We have heard the settled will of the Scottish people."
Let's not dwell on the distance we've fallen short - let us dwell on the distance we have travelled
— Alex Salmond (@AlexSalmond) September 19, 2014
BREAKING: It's NO! http://t.co/jRB3UDC9cu#indyrefpic.twitter.com/AfBQR7ONYW
— RT (@RT_com) September 19, 2014
The Beatles' "Come Together" (optimistically) blaring out of speakers at the No Thanks party in the Glasgow Marriott. #indyref
— Christopher Hope (@christopherhope) September 19, 2014
Fife result: "No" wins by 139,788 to 114,148. That is 55 percent for "No" and 45 percent for "Yes".
Total votes was 253,936. Turnout was 84 percent.
The people of Scotland have reaffirmed the bonds that bind them to the United Kingdom, said Alistair Darling, the leader of the Better Together group that campaigned for Scotland to remain part of the UK. He added that the majority of Scottish voters have chosen unity instead of division.
"We've taken on the argument and we've won. The silent have spoken," he added.
"We must now deliver on time and in full the radical package of newly devolved powers to Scotland. This referendum marks not only a new chapter for Scotland within the UK but also wider constitutional reform across the Union."
Alistair Darling: "The silent have spoken." #indyrefpic.twitter.com/xCD4oP0gHH
— Christopher Hope (@christopherhope) September 19, 2014
Estimates are suggesting the Highland will opt for the United Kingdom by 53-47.
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Highland result expected in an hour.
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Some of Friday's final #indyref editions #bbcpaperspic.twitter.com/QBvLgHmdWe
— Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) September 19, 2014
DETAILS: Scotland says 'No' to independence by 10% margin http://t.co/jRB3UDC9cu#indyrefpic.twitter.com/I3FwexmQSF
— RT (@RT_com) September 19, 2014
Today's latest Scotsman front page - Scotland Says No Thanks #indyrefpic.twitter.com/pkpe73kwkQ
— Martyn McLaughlin (@MartynMcL) September 19, 2014
Nick Clegg, deputy prime minister of the United Kingdom, said that he is “absolutely delighted” that the people of Scotland have voted ‘No’ in the Independence Referendum.
An extraordinary night. Humbled by the level of support and the efforts of our volunteers. Will give speech in Glasgow shortly. #indyref
— Alistair Darling (@TogetherDarling) September 19, 2014
Moray has opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 27,232 NO - 36,935
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Alex Salmond thanked those who opted for Scottish Independence.
"Scotland has, by majority, decided at this stage not to be an independent nation. I accept that decision and call on all people in Scotland to do so,” he said.
According to Salmond, the turnout for the referendum which was about 86 percent was a triumph for democratic politics. And allowing 16- and 17-year-olds to participate was also a triumph.
The Independence campaign has “touched sections of the community than have never before been touched by politics,” he added.
Moray has opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 27,232 NO - 36,935
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
The Unionists cheer the results of the referendum. ‘No’ campaign leads by around 11 percent.
We can officially declare that the No's have it. Scotland has rejected Independence. The Unionists have won.
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Scotland: ‘No’ votes lead with around 11% after 29 out of 32 councils declared. 'Yes' gathered 44,58 percent while 55,42 voted for Scotland to remain in the UK.
With only three councils left to declare: YES - 1,397,540 (44.58%) NO - 1,737,340 (55.42%)
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Fife has opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 114,148 NO - 139,788
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
I'll be making a statement following the Scottish Referendum results just after 7am. #indyref
— David Cameron (@David_Cameron) September 19, 2014
Argyll and Bute have opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 26,324 NO - 37,143
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Moray, the Highland's and Fife left to declare.
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
DETAILS: Scotland says 'No' to independence by 10% margin http://t.co/jRB3UDC9cu#indyrefpic.twitter.com/I3FwexmQSF
— RT (@RT_com) September 19, 2014
Edinburgh votes against independence: 123,927 vote 'Yes', but almost 194,638 thousand say 'No'
The City of Edinburgh has opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 123,927 NO - 194,638
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Aberdeenshire has opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 71,337 NO - 108,606
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
An extraordinary night. Humbled by the level of support and the efforts of our volunteers. Will give speech in Glasgow shortly. #indyref
— Alistair Darling (@TogetherDarling) September 19, 2014
I've spoken to Alistair Darling - and congratulated him on an well-fought campaign. #indyref
— David Cameron (@David_Cameron) September 19, 2014
Widely varying turnout in Glasgow constituencies for #indyref - 80% in Cathcart, 68.7% in Kelvin
— Martyn McLaughlin (@MartynMcL) September 19, 2014
Reuters calculated that those who want to stay in the UK are now about 54 percent. Final results are scheduled in next one or two hours.
Alex Salmond, the first minister of Scotland, has changed the cover photo on his Facebook page to a ‘One Scotland’ banner.
Nicola Sturgeon, deputy leader of the pro-independence Scottish National Party, said he concedes defeat in the referendum.
"Like thousands of others across the country, I've put my heart and soul into this campaign and there is a real sense of disappointment that we've fallen narrowly short of securing a ‘yes’ vote," she told BBC.
Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has conceded defeat to the Unionist cause.
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Well done to Glasgow, our commonwealth city, and to the people of Scotland for such a incredible support
— Alex Salmond (@AlexSalmond) September 19, 2014
This has been a remarkable day. Scotland's future truly is in Scotland's hands. #IndyRefpic.twitter.com/buvgOO9j7p
— Alex Salmond (@AlexSalmond) September 18, 2014
Jubilant YES campaigners singing Caledonia in West Dunbartonshire tonight #ScotDecidespic.twitter.com/kw3anZIUE6
— DAVE DONALDSON (@doubledee1973) September 19, 2014
‘Yes’ voters appear jubilant despite early count showing ‘No’ victory
In Maryhill and Springburn, Yes also romped home by 24,079 votes to No's 18,094 #indyref
— Martyn McLaughlin (@MartynMcL) September 19, 2014
The biggest constituency win for Yes was in Glasgow Provan, where they took it by 25,217 votes to No's 19,046 #indyref
— Martyn McLaughlin (@MartynMcL) September 19, 2014
The result so far as of 05:20. pic.twitter.com/oAY9nPvgEp
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
“I think there are very, very strong messages for the political class in Scotland and messages we need to heed,” Sturgeon, Scotland’s deputy first minister, told STV
She added that if there isn’t a ‘Yes’ vote tonight, she will be “deeply disappointed.”
“As have thousands and thousands of others, I have given my heart and soul to this campaign, but what has been amazing are the number of people who have never been involved in politics before, who have never campaigned as part of a political movement before, who have got involved,” she added.
East Ayrshire has opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 39,762 NO - 44,442
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Senior sources say Glasgow has voted Yes by a 'reasonable margin' #indyref#ScotDecides
— Carole Erskine (@CaroleErskine) September 19, 2014
Despite Alex Salmond's continuing absence and a string of defeats, the Nationalists are still not throwing in the towel, with Salmond's deputy Nicola Sturgeon in a combative mood.
Nicola Sturgeon in Glasgow: "I'm not going to concede anything at the moment" #indyref
— Martyn McLaughlin (@MartynMcL) September 19, 2014
Sky News has been the first UK broadcaster to call the election in favor of the No vote. The University of East Anglia is predicting that the margin could be as wide as 10 percent.
Sky News analysis indicates that the 'No' campaign is on course to win the #IndyRef election and Scotland will remain in the UK. #IndyRef
— Sky News (@SkyNews) September 19, 2014
THE VOTE SO FAR: YES - 1,036,810 (46.34%) NO - 1,200,695 (53.66%)
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Although it is unlikely to make a difference to the overall outcome at this point, Scotland's biggest city, Glasgow, has supported independence, though without the landslide predicted by the SNP.
Glasgow has opted for: INDEPENDENCE. YES - 194,779 NO - 169,347
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
The predicted no onslaught is now starting to assume concrete shape.
Sixteen councils declared: YES - 521,441 (43.76%) NO - 670,160 (56.24%)
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
The No campaign has secured three results in a row, and the Department of Politics at East Anglia, which has been conducting a live statistical analysis of the results, says "it would now call the election" in favor of the Better Together campaign.
Scotland #IndyRef - result for Aberdeen (4.1% of registered voters): Yes 41.4% No 58.6% Turnout 82%
— GuardianData (@GuardianData) September 19, 2014
Says the Sky News politics editor:
Pattern of massive turnout... Falling for No. They didn't sport badges or put up posters... But they voted no.
— Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) September 19, 2014
No takes East Lothian. 285,842 NO 259,983 YES #indyrefpic.twitter.com/uEJfGy9fCu
— Christopher Hope (@christopherhope) September 19, 2014
East Lothian has opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 27,467 NO - 44,283
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
A host of police units has flooded the Glasgow city center, and appear to have re-taken control. There are no reports of casualties or arrests.
Police moving in. Crowds running. No sign of fighting. That's that then. https://t.co/MfBcfXOi9o
— Peter A Smith (@PeterAdamSmith) September 19, 2014
With Midlothian voting to stay a part of the UK, the overall vote remains finely posed, although with significant No gains predicted.
After nine results: YES - 232,516 (49.05%) NO - 241,559 (50.95%)
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Another Yes win in West Dunbartonshire, an area on the outskirts of Glasgow.
West Dunbartonshire opted for: INDEPENDENCE. YES - 54% NO - 46%. #indyref
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Results coming thick and fast now, with the pro-independence voters grabbing the first local win in Dundee, known as Yes City, albeit without the anticipated margin of victory.
The City of Dundee has opted for: INDEPENDENCE YES - 53,620 NO - 39,880
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Renfrewshire opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 55,466 NO - 62,067
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Tony Blair's former communications maestro Alastair Campbell is not impressed with the Yes win.
Quite a night when 79pc turnout is described as low #indyref YES was hoping for 65-70pc in Dundee. Game over
— Alastair Campbell (@campbellclaret) September 19, 2014
The pro-independence crowds in Glasgow, a supposed stronghold for increasingly disillusioned Yes voters, appear to be getting rowdier. Some have climbed on the Portaloos, scaffolding and trucks stationed around the center of the city. Alcohol seems to have been a factor, with crowds streaming out of clubs and bars mixing with ordinary demonstrators.
No sign of it dwindling. More people coming. People coming out clubs & bars joining in. https://t.co/1vfE1kRHJ9
— Peter A Smith (@PeterAdamSmith) September 19, 2014
Police have arrived. https://t.co/GWsVpIPdUt
— Peter A Smith (@PeterAdamSmith) September 19, 2014
A pensive Alex Salmond, perhaps contemplating the crumbling of what for him is maybe a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.
Alex Salmond has been conspicuous by his absence tonight, but has now been spotted at Aberdeen Airport. #indyreflivepic.twitter.com/Bz5q5eNiIB
— The Daily Record (@Daily_Record) September 19, 2014
It's five out of five for the No campaign, albeit this is a closer result.
Inverclyde has declared for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 27,243 NO - 27,329
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Many Yes campaigners appear to now be indirectly conceding defeat, appear to be reframing their messages in terms of relative success, and are focused on securing the greater concessions promised by Cameron if Scotland voted No.
"There is a clear consensus in Scotland, if not for "Yes" in this vote, then for more powers for the Scottish Parliament," said former SNP MSP Andrew Wilson.
"We need to make sure the powers promised in haste at the end of this campaign are driven through to deliver not just paltry new powers, not just reluctant modest new powers, but the very substantial maximum new powers that people want to see.
Pollsters are anticipating a declaration for Fife, which is that most desirable of electoral commodities in the eyes of analysts - a bell-weather district, at least in the eyes of its Westminster MP.
"It has industrial areas around Rosyth dockyards for example and Glenrothes, it has former mining communities across west and central Fife. It also has quite strong middle class areas in west Fife, Kirkcaldy and north east Fife and right across the board we have got pretty good results," said Dunfermline and West Fife Labour MP Thomas Docherty.
"We don't have the final figures and we may be three hours away from that, but it does look like a good night for the 'No' campaign here in Fife."
As the outline of the result has become clearer, and with the Forex markets reassured, the Pound has hit a two-year high against the Euro.
Another declaration from a small outlying territory, the former Western Isles, now known as Eilean Siar, which were touted as potential Yes-dominated territories, but have resisted the lure of independence. The area's representative in the UK parliament, Angus MacNeil, is also an SNP member.
Significant result from Eilean Siar. NO wins 53-47% in an SNP stronghold. #indyref
— Betfair Exchange (@BetfairSports) September 19, 2014
I'm officially calling the Scottish election. If a place called Comhairle nan Eilean Siar votes to stick with the UK, it's over and out.
— Stephen Smoot (@S_A_Smoot) September 19, 2014
Sterling vs US$ now up 1.25 cents to $1.65 since polls closed. #indyref
— Douglas Fraser (@BBCDouglasF) September 19, 2014
In view of how the evening is turning out, the Yes campaigners are now telling the media that anything over 45 percent would be "a good result."
Similar to their rivals Orkneys, the Shetlands have no intention of leaving the UK.
Resounding win for the No Thanks campaign in Shetland. Party erupts here in Glasgow. #indyrefpic.twitter.com/YKLPKYJap7
— Christopher Hope (@christopherhope) September 19, 2014
The Shetland Isles have opted for: THE UNITED KINGDOM. YES - 5,669 (36.3%) NO - 9,951 (63.7%)
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
UK bookmakers, famously willing to accept bets on almost anything, appear to have made up their minds.
William Hill odds on a No vote now 1/40. Yes 11/1. #indyref#goonhaveapunt
— Auslan Cramb (@auslanc) September 19, 2014
More sources reporting that No has indeed won Aberdeenshire. Would be a shock result if true. #indyref
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Analysts reckon that more than anything, the No campaign has been effective in mobilizing its voters to come to the booths on polling day, with relatively higher turnouts in the Better Together areas producing more convincing margins of victory than predicted.
Whole Yes strategy in late stages of campaign was predicated on huge turnout in Glasgow schemes. 75% a big disappointment. #indyref#indyts
— Kenny Farquharson (@KennyFarq) September 19, 2014
More than two thirds of those on the Orkney Islands - themselves a distant part of Scotland, culturally and geographically - have voted against changes to the status quo.
Orkney result: 14,907 turnout of 87.3% Yes 4,883 No 10,004 Rejected 20 #indyrefhttp://t.co/t5k5Yk9Hqe
— PoliticsHome (@politicshome) September 19, 2014
More spectacular turnouts from around the country, meaning that Scotland could still be on course to beat the 83.9 percent, who voted in the 1950 poll.
More turnout's declared: Angus: 85.7% Dundee: 78.8% East Ayrshire: 84.5% East Renfrewshire: 90.4% Glasgow: 75% Midlothian: 86.8% #indyref
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
And more turnout's declared: Shetland: 84.4% South Ayrshire: 86.1% Stirling: 90.1% West Dunbartonshire: 87.9% West Lothian: 86.2% #indyref
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
While renowned election analyst Professor John Curtice of Stratchclyde University believes that the initial results in Clackmannanshire may have been a disappointment to the Yes vote, he calls for some perspective, while at the BBC.
John Curtice: However good this might look for No, the Yes side would have been happy for 46% of the vote a few weeks ago. #indyref
— Andrew Page (@scottishliberal) September 19, 2014
The ten contested ballots in Glasgow have been found and handed over to the authorities.
First official results are in.
Clackmannanshire Results: Yes: 46% No: 54%. #indyref
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
Poll observers estimated that the Yes campaign would need at least 48 percent here to get the overall majority, falling in line with disappointing results for them.
According to the No camp, they could be on course for a shock win in Aberdeenshire, Alex Salmond's seat. #indyref
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 19, 2014
The Yes camp has announced that they have likely won Glasgow by 54 percent to 46. While this is a victory, the SNP relied on a bigger majority in key urban areas (with many suggesting at least a 57 threshold to secure overall majority) and the atmosphere in the Yes camp appears subdued.
The extent of the voter fraud allegations in Glasgow concern ten people, who were impersonated by others voting on their behalf, BBC reports.
Considering that there are 486,219 registered voters in Glasgow, this is not likely to be statistically significant.
Turnout's so far: Clackmannanshire: 88.6% Inverclyde: 87.4% North Lanarkshire: 88.6% Orkney Islands: 83.7% Renfrewshire: 87.3% #indyref
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 18, 2014
18 September 2014
News from the Glasgow Herald.
BREAKING: Allegations of double vote impersonation in Glasgow #indyref
— Herald Editor (@Herald_Editor) September 18, 2014
Welsh nationalist Plaid Cymru leader Leanne Wood says a "Yes" vote would be a "fantastic opportunity for Wales to get the settlement that we deserve here", according to the BBC.
If there is a "No" vote, she argues, extra funding for Scotland under the Barnett formula might "cause a problem" for Wales, which gets a lower amount per head under the UK finding arrangement.
Renfrewshire had 117,612 votes cast, bringing a turnout of 87.3 percent.
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Yes sources say data suggest Glasgow could be 54% yes, 46% no. Mood quite flat in the Yes camp though. #indyref#Scotland
— James Cook (@BBCJamesCook) September 18, 2014
Alex Salmond was expected to visit the Aberdeenshire count in the early hours of the morning, to hear the declaration for the area that includes his own constituency.
However, a spokesman has confirmed that he now plans to stay at home in Strichen overnight before travelling to Edinburgh later on Friday.
Things may not be going as well as he had hoped.
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If NO Jim Wallace says @AlexSalmond "will have serious thinking to do... will be in a very difficult position."
— Adam Boulton (@adamboultonSKY) September 18, 2014
Caithness ballot boxes held up by 1.5 hours because of an accident on the A9 at Berriedale Braes blackspot.
The ballot boxes are now expected at the count in Dingwall at about 03:00.
Dundee turnout is 90 percent.
East Dunbartonshire is declaring that 97 percent of postal votes have been returned.
Online speculation is mounting about Alex Salmond's potential resignation, if the margin of the vote is decisive, with LibDem peer Lord Wallace saying on Sky News that the SNP leader will have to do "some hard thinking" in case of a No vote.
Some Better Together campaigners say the result in Clackmannanshire may be better for them than they'd hoped. A "Yes" vote had been widely expected here.
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Salmond no longer making appearance at Aberdeenshire count. Staying in Strichen and heading to Edinburgh in morning. Discuss. #indyref
— Auslan Cramb (@auslanc) September 18, 2014
BBC has consulted most of the Scottish districts, to find out what time they will declares their results. The biggest cities, Glasgow and Edinburgh, are likely to be some of the last to declare, ramping up the tension towards the end of the count.
Official figures from Clackmannanshire put the turnout at 89 percent.
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Yes camp "much happier now than half an hour ago". Senior source says Glasgow "looking good for us". #indyref#Scotland
— James Cook (@BBCJamesCook) September 18, 2014
Leading Scottish broadsheet The Scotsman reports.
Cameron expected to make an #indyref statement at 7am just after the #indyref result is announced #indyts
— David Maddox (@DavidPBMaddox) September 18, 2014
Orkney has announced its turnout figure. It’s 83.7%
Scottish Conservative leader Ruth Davidson sounds a note of caution about polls, arguing that opinion pollsters might be the "losers" in the referendum campaign.
"They haven't had a touch or a feel for Scotland," she tells the BBC. "They've tried to weight it to party politics and it just doesn't work."
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Highest-ever turnout in a Scottish national poll: 81.2% in the 1951 general election http://t.co/0ofOQpyNnr#indyrefpic.twitter.com/LytT4ukJr1
— Martin Stabe (@martinstabe) September 18, 2014
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What are the key issues in this independence referendum race? RT UK's Bill Dod reports from Westminster, speaking with investigative journalist Tony Gosling.
Pro-Union Liberal Democrat leader and Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg has said that whatever the result, the campaign has already changed the face of UK politics.
“I think the referendum campaign in Scotland, I think it has almost surprised people how it’s not only been about Scotland or Scotland’s place in the UK, it has almost lifted a lid on wider dissatisfaction with the Westminster and Whitehall establishment and the Westminster and Whitehall state and a very real appetite to see those powers properly decentralised.”
“I like to think the genie is out of the bottle now."
“I think this appetite for real devolution, this dissatisfaction with the way things are done in Westminster and Whitehall is now so strong that I would like to think that whoever is in charge at whatever level can’t wriggle free from the commitment to do something.”
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RT UK's Bill Dod reports from the London studio, speaking with investigative journalist Tony Gosling.
The postal vote turnout in Edinburgh is 89.6%, Sky reports.
Electric atmosphere in Glasgow's George Square where Yes supporters have gathered.
George's Square. Glasgow. A whole lotta blue. https://t.co/DGPNVkZIhQ
— Jane Bradley (@jane__bradley) September 18, 2014
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REFERENDUM: Counting in progress here at Ravenscraig - ballot boxes from Wishaw and Motherwell #indyrefpic.twitter.com/wVXxx13UQr
— Wishaw Press (@WishawPress) September 18, 2014
Guardian reporter Tom Clark says YouGov's final opinion poll shows no late swing towards yes vote.
Glasgow's George Square is full of Yes supporters. Although no results have yet been announced, the atmosphere is said to resemble a World Cup victory party.
RT @MartynMcL: Another image of Glasgow's George Square this evening #indyrefpic.twitter.com/TO121QVazQ
— Nesreen (@NesreenZ) September 18, 2014
The Wall Street Journal reports that the Pound rose by 0.3 against the dollar in just minutes after the announcement of the YouGov poll predicting a No vote, as financial markets are assuaged that there will be no uncertainty around the future of the currency and its parent state.
The Queen is said to be following the referendum closely. Sky is reporting royal sources that she will be watching the results of the referendum with Prince Philip at Balmoral.
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Labour MP Douglas Alexander tells the BBC: "We can only welcome the fact that we have come out in our millions to cast our vote".
He called the referendum a "historic judgement".
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Counting underway in East Dunbartonshire. Expecting turnout of 80%+ #indyref#scotdecidespic.twitter.com/XPztL6A33U
— jamescheyne (@jamescheyne) September 18, 2014
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"@RuptlyNewsroom: Closing of the polling stations in #Dundee Footage available in 20 mins" WATCH LIVE: http://t.co/3281Qh8QeC#indyref
— Ruptly (@Ruptly) September 18, 2014
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Yes source: "We're going to do it. It was our day." No source: 97% turnout in affluent areas. #indyref
— Alan Roden (@AlanRoden) September 18, 2014
Here's a brief outlook of what independence means for the Scottish economy:
- Scots would begin to set out their own fiscal policy, separate from the UK
- It will need to decide on the future of its currency. The options available include keeping the pound – either with or without permission,- adopting the euro or adopting a new currency
- It stands to lose £65.2 billion in UK public spending
- The Scottish government may assume a 90 percent share of UK oil revenues, which in 2013 were £6.1 billion, but are expected to fall to £4.7 billion in 2014
- An independent Scotland could claim part of the UK’s £7.8 billion gold reserves
- Like Norway, an independent Scotland would set up an oil fund to manage North Sea-generated oil revenues. A major challenge will be the variability and predicted fall in oil prices
- Gas, electricity, postal service and other state services would shift to Scottish authority
- Banks like Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group may switch headquarters to London
CNN with some polling of its own.
Of all nights to get the arithmetic wrong CNN! #indyref What does this mean? pic.twitter.com/TLMn6Lskb9
— Ronnie Convery (@ronaldopatrizio) September 18, 2014
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.@YouGov president Peter Kellner tells @adamboultonSKY he's now "99% certain" the No vote will win. https://t.co/Y9jK9RzMEs
— Sky News (@SkyNews) September 18, 2014
YouGov has called it for the Better Together campaign.
Although there were no exit polls outside voting booths today, respected pollster YouGov has conducted its own phone poll - concluding that 54% of the voters have voted for Scotland to stay as part of the UK.
"YouGov bases its prediction on the responses of 1,828 people after they voted today, together with those of 800 people who had already voted by post. Today’s respondents had previously given their voting intention earlier this week. By recontacting them, we could assess any last-minute shift in views. Today’s responses indicate that there has been a small shift on the day from Yes to No, and also that No supporters were slightly more likely to turn out to vote," it said on its website.
YouGov #IndyRef prediction: YES 46%, NO 54% - http://t.co/huG6uJFiJG
— YouGov (@YouGov) September 18, 2014
The YES campaign not missing out on the chance to stick it to Westminster one more time, even though none of it matters now.
As the polls close, total likes on the @YesScotland Facebook page have passed David Cameron's one. #indyref#voteYespic.twitter.com/x7IoB1EtfY
— Yes Scotland (@YesScotland) September 18, 2014
RT outlines the main economic effects of Scotland's mooted independence, including the fate of the oil revenues, and the future of the banking sector here.
Royal Bank of Scotland will move to England if Scotland becomes independent #indyrefhttp://t.co/yeK5w00poupic.twitter.com/5Np8up0pfQ
— HuffPost UK (@HuffPostUK) September 11, 2014
Postal votes are being counted first. In East Lothian, they are reporting that at least 94 percent of postal votes have been returned. The Dumfries count reports a 95.5 percent return rate on postal votes.
Watch RT coverage of the Scottish independence referendum LIVE here >
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And so the counting begins. #scottishindependence#indyref#Scotland Results to be announced approx 6:30-7:30am pic.twitter.com/kMGVU092xz
— three hours (@my3hours) September 18, 201
The polls are now closed. First results are likely to come in from 2am with the overall result announced at around 7am tomorrow. The polls are much too close to call.
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10 mins til polls close. Counters ready and waiting in Dundee #skyelections#indyrefpic.twitter.com/CbkSRtdhh5
— Jonathan Bucks (@jonathanbucks) September 18, 2014
Polls close in 10 minutes. Every vote will count in this tight referendum race.
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"@Rachael_Newport: Some last minute passionate campaigning continues... #indyref#edinburghpic.twitter.com/BbA0vSkhmx"
— Ruptly (@Ruptly) September 18, 2014
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'Yes' campaigner to me: no matter the result, first thing I'll do is cry. #indyref@Ruptlypic.twitter.com/QE7TtvctYv
— Monika Kalinowska (@mkalinowskaa) September 18, 2014
London-based Scottish tennis player Andy Murray has insisted that he will carry on representing Great Britain at next year’s international Davis Cup competition, even if Scotland votes for independence.
“I will be playing for Great Britain in the Davis Cup next year, that is for sure. I will be there in March. As far as I’m concerned the vote doesn’t change anything in that regard,” the 27-year-old told the Daily Mail.
Murray had been subjected to Twitter abuse, after coming out with an indirect message of support for the Yes vote hours before the polls opened.
Huge day for Scotland today! no campaign negativity last few days totally swayed my view on it. excited to see the outcome. lets do this!
— Andy Murray (@andy_murray) September 18, 2014
“It’s not my decision, I can’t vote, it’s for the Scottish people to decide and I trust them to make the right decision,” said Murray, clarifying his views.
“I will support whatever the outcome is. Regardless of how it goes, I think it’s very important for everyone to come together and stick together afterwards.”
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“@ScotsPaulus: Timeline of expected results tonight / tomorrow morning (GMT+0) #IndyRefpic.twitter.com/MHyQ6Wq640”@fmeikle@AlanClark9
— JC (@Findogask12) September 18, 2014
This is the scene LIVE in Glasgow's George Square where Scots have gathered at the close of this epic referendum race:
George square as scots vote in independence referendum WATCH LIVE: http://t.co/oR83qZ67xm#indyrefpic.twitter.com/Z53zas8yK9
— Ruptly (@Ruptly) September 18, 2014
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Outside #Scotland parliament now https://t.co/Kk8lUZLATy
— Javier Pascual (@javierpascual) September 18, 2014
The Church of Scotland's most senior cleric has urged unionists and pro-independence campaigners to respect the outcome of the referendum.
In the hours after the result both sides must publicly declare that the matter has been democratically settled, the Moderator of the Kirk's General Assembly said.
The Rt Rev John Chalmers also suggested replacing posters and badges from the Yes and No campaigns with a "One Scotland" image.
With polls so close during the closing stages of the campaign, fears have been raised by some parties that whatever the outcome, Scotland will be left a divided nation.
Chalmers said the victors should host an event with the key figures from the opposing camp to work on a strategy for Scotland's future.
"We have encouraged a respectful dialogue up until now - disagreement without being disagreeable; now we need to convert that into preparation for the result.
"Cast your vote, stand back and trust the democratic process.
"Get ready to accept the will of the Scottish people - and that will be best done by setting passions aside.
"If we do that we'll be ready for the next step in the process, which will be to harness the energy of both sides.
"Whatever the outcome we will need to be ready to work together."
The Kirk said it expected 1,000 people at a post-referendum service of reconciliation at St Giles’ Cathedral in Edinburgh on Sunday.
Beginning at 11.30am, the service is open to the public and senior figures from the Better Together and Yes campaigns are expected to attend and contribute readings.
"The Scottish referendum is taking place at this moment, which can decide the future of Britain - but also of Europe." France’s President Hollande, addressing a news conference.
What would Scottish independence mean for other secessionist movements across Europe?
Scotland's #indyref could set off a wave of independence movements across Europe: http://t.co/wzlWAgshprpic.twitter.com/rfQL2G7K1X
— Businessweek (@BW) September 18, 2014
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Alex Salmond tells Telegraph he expects '95 per cent of Scotland will be perfectly happy with the result, whatever it is'. #indyref
— Auslan Cramb (@auslanc) September 18, 2014
Meet the Catalans campaigning for Scottish independence.
David Cameron will make a televised address in Downing Street early on Friday morning, after the results of the Scottish referendum are declared.
With opinion polls showing a narrow lead for the “No” side most Tory MPs are working on the assumption that the union, and the prime minister's job, will be saved.
But if Scottish voters decide to leave the UK, Cameron will face a constitutional and personal crisis.
There are fears that the pound could be highly vulnerable in trading in the Far East in the early hours of Friday.
Other MPs disputed this view and insisted that Cameron would be safe, if only to ensure stability during a crisis.
It is widely expected the prime minister would have to recall parliament no later than Monday in the event of a yes vote.
First results are expected between 1.30am and 2am on Friday 19 September.
The remote Orkney Islands are expected to be the first to declare.
Most of the results should come through between 3am and 5am.
Edinburgh, Glasgow and Aberdeen will be the last three councils to announce results, between 5am and 6am.
The councils will report results to Mary Pitcaithly, the chief counting officer, at the Royal Highland Centre at Ingliston, near Edinburgh.
Pitcaithly is expected to announce the final result between 6.30am and 7.30am.
British prime minister David Cameron will make a televised address shortly after the results are declared.
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Dundee: Few 'yes' campaigners scattered around the city and indie van standing by the city hall. #indyrefpic.twitter.com/xO12F98X18
— Monika Kalinowska (@mkalinowskaa) September 18, 2014
This couple made time on their big day to cast their vote!
A day to remember! RT @CllrNormanWork: Bride & Groom take time out to vote in #Queensferry#indyrefpic.twitter.com/PYDbwbgYVh
— Evening News (@edinburghpaper) September 18, 2014
Newspapers on referendum day were largely in support of a 'No' vote, or maintained neutrality.
These were the front pages when I grabbed lunch today. What will they be tomorrow. #indyrefpic.twitter.com/nHMPdNOkHe
— Rowan Singh (@rowansingh) September 18, 2014
A former Merseyside council leader has been arrested and charged with alleged assault after campaigning against Scottish independence at a polling station in Glasgow, reports The Herald.
Marie Rimmer, who has been on St Helens council for more than 30 years, was held after an incident at a community centre in the Shettleston area of Glasgow around lunchtime.
She was among a group of Merseyside politicians who had come to the city to support the 'No' campaign, urging Scots not to vote for independence in the referendum.
Kilts of Independence! Glasgow's 'Yes' supporters hit the polls.
Analysts have been asking voters if their choice has been influenced by 'hope' or by 'fear'.
The 'No' campaign have been accused by 'Yes' supporters of a "project of fear" to dissuade Scots from choosing independence.
Meanwhile, the 'Yes' campaign have tried to keep their message optimistic and positive.
The data in these charts reveal how these themes have influenced opinion.
Most No voters have "loss aversion" #indyrefpic.twitter.com/zt2YPSTdUf
— Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) September 18, 2014
First Minister Alex Salmond has been squeezing every last drop of "Yes" voter potential out of the last hours of the referendum campaign!
Tele canvassing Mintlaw from a doorstep in Turriff pic.twitter.com/jnuKerRKn8
— Alex Salmond (@AlexSalmond) September 18, 2014
Independence campaigners in the Basque Country, seeking their own referendum in November, have been flying the Scottish flag from public buildings today.
Saltires flying from municipal buildings and houses all across the Basque Country today #independentzia#VoteYespic.twitter.com/7nNicnPtPy
— Radical Independence (@Radical_Indy) September 18, 2014
A big headache awaits David Cameron whichever way the vote goes.
Nick Herbert, Tory MP and former policing minister, has attacked his party's handling of the campaign.
"I feel dismay. Dismay that we’ve somehow, carelessly, let this happen. Dismay that our broken politics might now break the United Kingdom. Dismay – no, anger – that the people without hope on those council estates have been so let down by socialism that they genuinely see independence as a route out."
Scots leaving work this evening are keen to be out and part of the crowd, 4 hours before polls close.
Crowds gathering now outside parliament #indyrefpic.twitter.com/pKQJfV0NHi
— Holyrood magazine (@HolyroodDaily) September 18, 2014
Shares in the Scottish financial system have risen as investors anticipate a “No” campaign victory.
Lloyds Banking Group gained 1.35 percent, Royal Bank of Scotland rose by 0.6 percent, Standard Life picked up 1.5 percent and Aberdeen Asset Management rallied by 1.85 percent.
The pound hit a two-year high against the euro of €1.273 this afternoon, and a two-week high against the US dollar, after a volatile couple of weeks.
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Ok, take this as you may - pinch of salt and so on - but now hearing from multiple sources that the postal vote is breaking to #Yes#indyref
— NeilMackay (@NeilMackay) September 18, 2014
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Neighbours #indyrefpic.twitter.com/fmpP3GmwT3
— Paul Owen (@PaulTOwen) September 18, 2014
MPs are opposed to sharing the pound with an independent state - 82 percent overall, with 95 percent of Tories and 72 percent of Labour opposed. Two-thirds of MPs said the referendum has damaged relations with Scotland.
London's Victoria Station showed how it felt about the Scottish independence referendum.
It's a 'No' from Victoria Station then I guess ! #indyrefpic.twitter.com/hW7wJnKqB1
— Philippa Ratcliffe (@partroot) September 18, 2014
An overwhelming majority of Tory MPs oppose David Cameron's promise to preserve the Barnett Fomula on top of extra powers for Scots in the event of a no vote, a new poll shows.
Cameron faces a battle with his own backbenchers after promising to retain the formula, which was established in the 1970s and awards Scotland £1,623 a head more in Scotland than in England.
The pledge to keep the formula appeared in a joint statement by Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband in the Daily Record.
Polling of MP by Dods, the political information service, found 63 percent think the formula should be changed - including 83 percent of Tories, 41 percent of Labour and 78 percent of Lib Dems.
The Loch Ness Monster has joined the nationalist cause!
Nessie said yes. #indyref#scotland via @NewYorkerpic.twitter.com/LpWS6eAnoY
— Jonathan Lemay (@JoLemay) September 18, 2014
16 year olds have been offered the chance to vote for the first time in a Scottish vote. Many will be making their way to polling stations now school's out!
What's Scots for "adorbs"? RT@Marthakearney: Some 16 year olds who've just voted in Portobello in Edinburgh #indyrefpic.twitter.com/llvFagyksL
— Martha Moore (@USATMoore) September 18, 2014
Glasgow's George Square in the final hours before referendum polls close. Watch our LIVE FEED here.
George square as scots vote in independence referendum WATCH LIVE: http://t.co/oR83qZ67xm#indyrefpic.twitter.com/Z53zas8yK9
— Ruptly (@Ruptly) September 18, 2014
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Massive split between men and women in our @ipsosmori indyref poll. 'Yes' is ahead with every age group save for 55+. pic.twitter.com/RMcDE6tn0A
— jerrylatter (@jerrylatter) September 17, 2014
The pound is rallying today, despite fears the referendum would send it crashing. The Financial Times says foreign exchanges have confidence in a “No” result.
“Sterling is strengthening markedly against the US dollar on rising expectations that Scots will reject a vote for independence at today’s referendum.
“Of the 16 biggest currencies in the world the pound and the Norwegian krone are the only ones to climb against the resurgent dollar today, with sterling climbing 0.5 per cent against the greenback – the most in a week.”
Voting intentions of men and women?
There is a clear gender divide in support for independence.
Scottish Independence Poll (Ipsos-Mori): Men: YES 53% NO: 47%. Women: YES: 42% NO: 58%. #indyref
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 18, 2014
Catalonia independence activists show support for Scotland
WATCH NOW: #Catalonia independence activists show support for #Scotlandhttps://t.co/7dSyna4AMh
— Ruptly Newsroom (@RuptlyNewsroom) September 18, 2014
In the short term, David Cameron would have most to lose if Scotland votes to leave the UK tomorrow.
Yet in the medium term, a Yes verdict could have a much more dramatic impact on Labour than the Tories.
The party currently holds 41 of Scotland’s 59 constituencies – which would no longer send MPs to Westminster after “independence day”.
Labour leader Ed Miliband has been on the campaign trail urging Scots to stay in the union.
Helping to get out the #LabourNo vote in Glasgow. Polls are open until 10pm, don't forget to vote. pic.twitter.com/Qu3uXlRk1T
— Ed Miliband (@Ed_Miliband) September 18, 2014
While the original source of this image and when it was taken is unverified, it offers a striking example of the strong feelings surrounding this referendum.
to all you prods who voted #yes shame on you #indyrefpic.twitter.com/MFgB5i4Ghc
— Willy_Darragh (@WillyDarragh) September 18, 2014
The White House issued a tweet earlier urging Scots to stay in the union. A grateful David Cameron retweeted.
The UK is an extraordinary partner for America and a force for good in an unstable world. I hope it remains strong, robust and united. -bo
— The White House (@WhiteHouse) September 17, 2014
How are different age groups likely to vote?
The last three YouGov polls indicate 25-39 year olds have been consistently and strongly pro-independence, while the over 60s have collectively always been pro-union.
The bulk of that older support is from those older than 65. 60-64 year olds back independence as a group, but only by 7 points.
It is also clear that 40-59 year olds are divided. YouGov's last two polls suggest the age group is split 50/50.
The numbers are less clear on the young voters – the 16-25 first-time voters.
Just under two weeks ago YouGov suggested they were as pro-independence as any group, by 20 percent.
That then swung to a 6 percent pro-union lead in their next poll before YouGov suggested they were also split 50/50 in yesterday's final call.
"No" supporters have accused "Yes" campaigners of aggressive and intimidating tactics during the campaign.
@georgegalloway Come back hame..we need you to join the against fight this type of extremism in Scotland. pic.twitter.com/8F3q7kgpNX
— Positive about No ! (@MartyMc732) September 18, 2014
Police Scotland have confirmed they were called out to reports of vandalism at a polling booth.
A Police Scotland spokesperson said: "At 7.40am police responded to complaints of vandalism at a polling station on Main Street. Our first priority was to act quickly and in partnership with West Dunbartonshire Council to ensure the vandalism was covered up shortly after. It is now covered up and an inquiry is ongoing."
Scottish First Minister Alex Salmond remains confident in a "Yes" victory.
"Scotland's future must be in Scotland's hands ... This is our opportunity of a lifetime and we must seize it with both hands," he said at Wednesday night's final rally.
The atmosphere is electric in Turriff... #LetsDoThis Scotland! pic.twitter.com/q4dEeQ9pq6
— Alex Salmond (@AlexSalmond) September 18, 2014
Scotland wouldn't be the first to gain independence from the United Kingdom:
Is #Scotland going to join the rest of the world? #indyref Countries that said #yes to UK #independencepic.twitter.com/ycUk1f8npI
— Zev Palatnik (@ZPalatnik) September 18, 2014
More rebellion in the Tory ranks against further Scottish devolution.
“I for one would be very concerned at the idea that my electorate would continue to subsidise the Scots even after they have been given all these powers to raise even more money,” said John Whittingdale MP.
The Conservative chairman of the select committee, voiced his opposition to handing Scotland more powers if they vote to keep the union.
Other European separatist campaigners, including the Catalans, have gathered in Scotland to support the #indyref. Will we see future independence referendums across the continent?
Catalans getting in on the act at the Scottish parliament #indyrefpic.twitter.com/gUhhzVb2VZ
— Paul Owen (@PaulTOwen) September 18, 2014
There may be no exit polls, but if social media were determining who was in the lead, 'Yes' campaign are leading comfortably.
If hashtags could vote in #indyref, result would be clear... Twitter data from @JoannaUKhttp://t.co/X7SASJXWhBpic.twitter.com/SedlEXOXbQ
— Andrew Stroehlein (@astroehlein) September 18, 2014
Once the polls have closed, ballot papers will be counted in each of Scotland's 32 local authority areas.
These will include votes cast from the 789,024 postal vote applications, which was the largest volume of registration for postal votes ever in Scotland.
After votes have been tallied, the counting officer in each area will communicate the result to the chief counting officer Mary Pitcaithly in Edinburgh.
With her approval they will then make a declaration of the result.
Pitcaithly will declare the result of the referendum at the Royal Highland Centre outside Edinburgh at “breakfast time” on Friday.
The result is most likely to be between 06:30 and 07:30, according to Elections Scotland.
However, running totals - which can be made from the first declaration onwards - may indicate a result earlier in the morning.
The final poll of the Scottish referendum campaign shows “No” on 53 percent and “Yes” on 47 percent, a slight strengthening of the No lead.
The same pollster, Ipsos Mori, in a poll for STV issued on Wednesday night showed only a two-point lead for “No”, but this was based on earlier field work.
All the leading pollsters have now issued final polls suggesting a “No” win by 53 percent to 47 percent, or 52 percent to 48 percent, but Labour officials remain cautious, saying it is still unclear how undecided voters will break, or what could be the impact of a high turnout. As few as 200,000 votes could determine the outcome.
The last Ipsos Mori poll shows 50 percent say they will vote “No”, with 45 percent saying they will vote “Yes”, and 4 percent still undecided.
Excluding those undecided, 53 percent of certain voters say they intend to vote “No”, with 47 percent to vote “Yes”.
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97% registered: #indyref expected to be busiest day in Scottish electoral history LIVE UPDATES http://t.co/t7YAwjhOYlpic.twitter.com/11ls0jpMn0
— RT (@RT_com) September 18, 2014
Looks like media mogul Rupert Murdoch has added his two cents to todays' referendum vote. Though still unclear about his opinion...
— Rupert Murdoch (@rupertmurdoch) September 18, 2014
"A 'No' vote will haunt me forever!" Edinburgh residents cast their ballots.
Police Scotland have confirmed to the Guardian that a 44-year-old man “has been arrested in connection with an alleged assault outside a polling place in Faifley Road, Clydebank at 8.30am today and a report will be submitted to the Procurator Fiscal”.
Other separatist movements in Europe and beyond are closely watching today’s referendum.
In July, the president of Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan Region Massoud Barzani announced that he intends to hold a referendum on independence within months. The referendum has now been delayed because of the fight against ISIS, though the Kurds' independence hopes have not been extinguished.
The Kurdish people have long agitated for a homeland of their own. Kurds are spread across a wide area that spans Turkey, Syria, Iraq and Iran — but in Iraq Kurds have the greatest autonomy.
As people in #Scotland decide on their future today, the people of Iraqi #Kurdistan will have similar process soon within a very near future
— Ari Mamshae (@Mamshae) September 18, 2014
Tory rail minister Claire Perry has become the first government front bencher to join the rebellion over promises to give Scotland more powers regardless of today’s referendum result, warning against “promises of financial party bags”.
She attacked the pledge made by the three main parties to maintain the current level of funding for Scotland and devolve local tax raising powers as hardly “hardly equitable” to the situation in England.
She warned against giving Scotland “a whole raft of goodies” which will have to be “paid for by us south of the border to try and appease the Yes voters”.
Westminster has been making the case for sticking with the union in exchange for more powers.
First Minister Alex Salmond has cast his vote this morning.
He said: “We are in the hands of the people of Scotland and there is no safer place to be than in the hands of the Scottish people.”
It was a pleasure to #voteYes with first time voters Natasha and Lia this morning. #LetsDoThis Scotland! #IndyRefpic.twitter.com/iRVaoEj44w
— Alex Salmond (@AlexSalmond) September 18, 2014
Police Scotland confirm they have arrested a man at a polling station for alleged assault, according to a Daily Mail journalist.
Police Scotland confirms first arrest of man for alleged assault at a polling station #indyref
— John Stevens (@johnestevens) September 18, 2014
“No” campaign director Blair McDougall says the referendum turnout appears “very high”.
Reports of very high turnout already (the box I voted in was already full). Our supporters turning out & proudly voting No. #indyref
— Blair McDougall (@blairmcdougall) September 18, 2014
Although Germany has not given an official statement about the prospect of an independent Scotland, its media suggest that the government wouldn’t be in favor of a Yes victory.
Chancellor Angela Merkel’s main concern would be the potentially negative consequences for the European Union, if Scotland was to become independent. Germany’s mass media discussed the referendum in detail as Scots went to the polls on Thursday to decide whether to end the 307-year-long union with the UK.
Germany's influential Der Spiegel magazine published a commentary headlined “A shame for Great Britain” on Thursday. “From a German standpoint, the issue is clear. It would be a shame for Great Britain, a great shame,” the magazine remarked.
In a more humoros approach, the tabloid Bild asked who would be Scotland's head of state if it was to become independent. It claimed Scotland’s separatists neither wanted the Queen, nor a republic. “There is only 81-year-old Prince Franz of Bavaria who lives in Munich. For supporters of the banned Stuart dynasty he is the rightful heir to the Scottish throne," Bild remarked.
There are unconfirmed reports of an arrest at a polling station. So far, referendum day is passing off peacefully, contrary to some pessimistic forecasts.
First arrest made at polling station. All police in Scotland have had leave cancelled until after the referendum period.
— George Eaton (@georgeeaton) September 18, 2014
The moment polls opened Thursday morning, broadcasters were banned from discussing and analyzing referendum issues and will not be able to do so again until voting has closed.
The print media in Britain, by contrast, operates under fewer constraints and there is plenty of debate in this morning’s papers about the key issues.
However, some rules apply for all media. If those rules, set out in the Scottish Referendum Act, are broken, you could be faced with a possible prison sentence. You could even break these rules with a simple quick tweet about what other people are voting for.
“No person,” says the Act in its section on Exit Polls, “may publish before the close of the poll…any statement relating to the way in which voters have voted…where that statement is (or might reasonably be taken to be) based on information given by voters after they have voted.”
Publish in that context means “to make available to the public at large (or any section of the public) in whatever form and by whatever means.” That also includes social media.
No Scottish daily newspaper has backed a “Yes” vote in today’s independence referendum.
Most of the UK national newspapers back a “No” vote while most Scottish dailies have stayed neutral saying it is up the readers to follow their own consciences.
What the UK awoke to today. #indyref#scotlandhttp://t.co/BjeaD5yOOJpic.twitter.com/S1oNkcXG99
— Jim Roberts (@nycjim) September 18, 2014
Other European separatist campaigners have gathered in Scotland to support the #indyref. Will we see future independence referendums across the continent?
— Cláudia Monteiro (@montyclaudia) September 18, 2014
Some have taken a more humorous approach to the possibility of a Yes vote, using a scenario that many of us, unfortunately, know all too well.
Still confused about the key points of todays' referendum vote? Well, these Taiwan based animators might be able to help...
New poll from Professor John Curtice predicts that 48% of Scots will vote 'Yes' and 52% will vote 'No' :
— What Scotland Thinks (@WhatScotsThink) September 18, 2014
Graffiti at a Scottish polling station is apparently used to intimidate voters.
MSP Jackie Baillie, a Scottish Labour party member, has tweeted a picture of a polling station with the words “vote yes or else” sprayed across it, which she called a “shocking behaviour from Yes campaigners.”
Shocking behaviour from yes campaigners. Should not be trying to threaten and intimidate #voteno#indyrefpic.twitter.com/L7zhP5rDFc
— Jackie Baillie (@jackiebmsp) September 18, 2014
Voter turnout for the Scottish independence referendum seems to be high. Martyn McLaughlin, a senior reporter for The Scotsman, tweets that 18.5 percent of registered adults in Scotland had voted by 10am already.
With 4,285,323 people – 97 percent of the electorate - registered to vote, it is expected to be the busiest day in Scottish electoral history.
18.5% of registered adults in Scotland had voted by 10am, nearly a fifth of voter base in first three hours of #indyref. Impressive.
— Martyn McLaughlin (@MartynMcL) September 18, 2014
Some more initial analysis shows that 'middle classes' (ABC1) are likely to vote against independence. This demographic may be crucial, as many are likely to make up the 'undecided' quota.
— @election_data (@election_data) September 18, 2014
New poll in from IPSOS-MORI shows 'No' vote at 53% and 'Yes' vote at 47%. However, polling data by category shows considerable support for independence from men, and more union support from women:
Scottish Independence Poll (Ipsos-Mori): Men: YES 53% NO: 47%. Women: YES: 42% NO: 58%. #indyref
— Britain Elects (@britainelects) September 18, 2014
These supporters of the self-proclaimed Donetsk Peoples' Republic (DPR) have also come out in favour of Scottish Independence:
— Anton Zverev (@Zreuters) September 18, 2014
Alex Salmond cast his vote in his home village of Strichen this morning, alongside three other voters.
After coming out of the polling station, he declared that British Tennis champion Andy Murray “had hit another winner this morning”, the Guardian reports.
"I think the message for Scotland is, let’s do it now… It’s a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity and I think you can see it already from the number of people voting” he added.
PHOTO: @AlexSalmond leaves polling station after casting his vote during #indyrefhttp://t.co/t7YAwjhOYlpic.twitter.com/bnaocVWZCd
— RT (@RT_com) September 18, 2014
Lots of celebrities have declared their poisition on the Scottish independence referendum, with the latest being British Tennis champion Andy Murray. He surprised many by leaning toward the Yes campaign.
— Andy Murray (@andy_murray) September 18, 2014
Anyone planning to stay up tonight to watch the #indyref, here are the times results are expected to be released from each voting area of Scotland: What time are the results going to start coming in this evening:
— Democratic Audit (@democraticaudit) September 18, 2014
Scots go to the polling booths today to decide the fate of their country. RT reporter Polly Boiko is on the scene and will be reporting once voting ends on Thursday night.
— Polly Boiko (@Polly_Boiko) September 18, 2014
The British pound has entered a period of high volatility, as financial players hedge against referendum-related risks, reports Reuters. The overnight sterling/dollar rate implied volatility was almost 10 times the levels seen a month ago.
The British currency was trading at $1.6275, but stayed well above a 10-month low of $1.6051 struck last week. The plunge was due to opinion polls that showed the ‘yes’ vote edging slightly ahead of the ‘no’ vote - a situation that has reversed since.
Arguably the most fateful ballot in Scotland’s modern history has not only technical significance, but also purely technical challenges for the organizers, since the Highlands have many hard-to-reach corners, where people still want to cast their votes, reports RT’s Polly Boiko. With the help of helicopters, first results are expected by Friday breakfast.
What Britain is waking up to: #Indyref UK newspaper pages (COLLAGE) http://t.co/t7YAwjhOYlpic.twitter.com/yIZHXJM4tN
— RT (@RT_com) September 18, 2014
Follow RT correspondents covering the independence referendum in Scotland. Rachael Newport is in Edinburgh, while and Jose Manuel Sequeira is in Glasgow – tweeting news updates. Also don’t miss Monika Kalinowska reporting from Dundee.
Polling stations are opening in Scotland for a vote which may make the land a separate country, not a part of the UK.
17 September 2014
Final STV / IPSOSMORI poll has Yes at 51 and No at 49. YouGov poll out at 10:
— STV News (@STVNews) September 17, 2014
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Salisbury Crags, Edinburgh, 24 hours before the #indyrefpic.twitter.com/j2xbtrTU2Y
— Pablo Rodero (@pablorodero) September 17, 2014
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Left work early to get to George square for #voteyes rally #indyrefpic.twitter.com/3PfYYFVPVg
— Pam (@TumshiePam) September 17, 2014
Scottish First Minister Alex Salmond will address a “Yes” rally in Perth this evening at about 8pm.
The SNP has already released an extract of Salmond’s speech, and it shows he is going to invite the Scots to use the referendum to seize power from the “Westminster establishment”.
“If we win tomorrow – and that is now in your hands – it will be because of the thousands of individuals all across Scotland who have become leaders in their communities.
“The reaction of the Westminster establishment to this demonstration of people power is telling.
“It’s the reaction of the powerful few who believe they always know what is best – that power should always be in their hands.
“So the Westminster parties cobble together separate, contradictory proposals for more powers – none of which offer any answers to the real challenges we face. They fail to come up with an agreed package that the voters can judge and scrutinize and vote on.
“Instead they say ‘leave it to us, we will sort it out’ – behind closed doors, among themselves in the committee rooms of Westminster.”
Salmond also has a message for the people of England, Wales and Northern Ireland.
“To our friends in the rest of the United Kingdom, I say this. We don’t seek division, but rather equality. A new, better and harmonious relationship founded on our enduring bonds of family and culture.
“In an independent Scotland you will find the closest friend, most honest counsel and most committed ally. What we seek is a relationship of equals in these isles for our mutual advantage.”
The BBC has faced criticism in the final weeks of the referendum campaign for an alleged anti-independence "bias". Anger among "Yes" supporters was particularly aimed at political editor Nick Robinson, who was accused of "lying" in one of his news reports. According to the editor of The Herald, Robinson has apologised to BBC Scotland colleagues for 'becoming the story':
Nick Robinson tells BBC Scotland colleagues: Sorry I've become the story http://t.co/uN9BP8zZyQ#indyref
— Herald Editor (@Herald_Editor) September 17, 2014
David Miliband - brother of Labour leader Ed Miliband - has compared the Scottish independence referendum to the American Civil War:
US thought/fought about secession and separation 150 years ago. #bettertogether was the answer then and logic holds even stronger today.
— David Miliband (@DMiliband) September 17, 2014
With just a day to go until Scots vote in the independence referendum, RT’s Polly Boiko examines the polls and Westminster’s last ditch attempt to keep Scotland in the Union. Party leaders have pledged new powers to the Scottish parliament if voters choose to stay. Prime Minister David Cameron has warned a split could damage financial stability.
The latest poll from Panelbasehas the Yes side on 48 percent and No on 52 percent, excluding undecided voters.
Including undecided voters, the figures were Yes – 45 percent, No – 50 percent and Undecided – 5 percent.
The Panelbase results are the same as three polls released yesterday. Opinium for the Daily Telegraph, another by ICM for the Scotsman and a third by Survation for the Daily Mail all had No on 52 percent and Yes on 48 percent with undecided voters excluded.
Socialist independence campaigner Tommy Sheridan called the "Yes" campaign a "revolt against austerity" when he spoke on BBC's Sunday Politics:
Speaking at a rally in Glasgow, Yes Scotland chairman Dennis Canavan slammed the No parties’ “back of a fag packet” pledge of further devolution.
He told supporters: “A vow - it looks like something written on the back of a fag packet at the fag end of a long campaign. But the people of Scotland will not be fooled.
“There is only one guarantee of getting more powers for the Scottish Parliament and that is by voting Yes, so let's take that message out, let's take our message out to every street, every city, every town, every village, every community, every workplace, every home in Scotland.”
There have been some unlikely voices speaking in favour of Scottish independence!
A leading pollster has admitted that opinion polls showing the ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ campaigns neck and neck could be inaccurate.
The latest poll of polls, the average of the last six surveys, gives the ‘No’ campaign a narrow 51 to 49 percent lead.
Martin Boon, director of polling company ICM, told BBC Radio Four the reliance by most companies on relatively small online panels made the final result difficult to predict.
“We are dependent on a pot of people which is defined, but we don't know how big it is and in my view it won't be big enough. In that lies a real danger for the accuracy of the polls in advance of this referendum,” said Boon.
Polls may be underestimating a big surge in support for independence among people who rarely vote, underestimating the strength of the ‘Yes’ vote. They may also be blind to significant numbers of ‘shy Nos’ – people reluctant to tell pollsters they oppose independence.
“In Scotland now, I believe it could be true to a limited degree there is a kind of patriotism spiral of silence going on,” said Boon. “Perhaps some people think it is unpatriotic to say they are a ‘No’ voter - maybe they are inclined to silence.”
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This is every country that has sought independence from Britain, in one beautiful map #indyref: http://t.co/g1GYefSpAM
— Hussein Kesvani (@HKesvani) September 17, 2014
Westminster party leaders have signed a joint pledge promising “extensive new powers” for the Scottish parliament if voters reject independence in Thursday’s referendum.
Prime Minister David Cameron, Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg and Labour party leader Ed Miliband offered their pledge in a letter published on the front page of Scotland’s Daily Record newspaper on Tuesday.
Devolved powers would be “delivered by the process and to the timetable agreed” by the UK’s three biggest parties in a deal brokered by Scottish-born former Prime Minister Gordon Brown.
The leaders sought to guarantee greater levels of state funding and to make the Scottish parliament a permanent institution.
“The UK exists to ensure opportunity and security for all by sharing our resources equitably across all four nations,” the letter reads.
“And because of the continuation of the Barnett allocation for resources and the powers of the Scottish parliament to raise revenue, we can state categorically that the final say on how much is spent on the NHS will be a matter for the Scottish parliament.”
The Barnett equation is the system by which the wealth and resources of the UK is shared among its constituent nations.
Scotland’s hopes of joining the European Union as an independent state were cast into doubt when Spain’s prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, said it could take years for it to be integrated.
If Scotland backs independence, Rajoy insists it would have to reapply to the EU as a new member state, based on the unanimous agreement of all 28 member states. The Spanish PM has suggested he would block Scotland’s entry.
“It’s clear that if one part of a state separates, it converts itself into a third territory with respect to the EU,” he said.
“They can ask to be integrated and begin a process that could take years. In the case of Spain it took eight years.”
Speaking to the Spanish parliament on Wednesday, Rajoy said Scottish secession would be a catastrophe. “It would start a process of Balkanisation that nobody in Europe wants,” he said.
Former PM Gordon Brown spoke at a Better Together rally earlier today:
Watch and RT Gordon Brown's barnstorming speech at today's rally. #indyrefhttp://t.co/lXdGhVq0Wf
— Better Together (@UK_Together) September 17, 2014
Blair Jenkins, Chief Executive of Yes Scotland says "It's our time. Let's do it."
Pollsters say that there is no way to predict the outcome of the referendum, as both 'Yes' and 'No' camps are running neck and neck.
Current surveys show YES at 48%, and NO at 52%, although swing voters and undecided voters could change the figure dramatically.
"The potential true figure could be anywhere between a 1% Yes lead and a 10% No win" reports ITV political analyst Professor Colin Rallings.
Work and Pensions secretary Ian Duncan Smith has told The Guardian that Scotland should stay in the union in order to keep its unemployment rate down.
He said that Scotland's relatively low unemployment rate compared to Ireland was in part due to its membership of the United Kingdom, and said its unemployment rate could 'double' if they chose to be an independent state.
"If you compare Scotland with Ireland what you actually see from these figures – and I had them double checked – is that Scotland's unemployment rate is half that of Ireland's, pretty much. Scotland's at 6%, Ireland's is 11.5% ... The advantages of being in the union from this I think begin to be very clear. Coming out of the recession, Scotland has done proportionately better than most of the rest of the UK and significantly better than Ireland, and I hope that resonates" he said.
According to RT's analytics, #Voteyes corresponds to 21% of trending tweets, while #voteno only occupies around 7% of trending posts.
Glasgow has the highest number of people tweeting about #Indyref, with 50% of tweets in the city being about the upcoming independence vote. In contrast, 30% of tweets in Edinburgh are about the independence vote.
More warnings for Scots if they vote 'Yes' tomorrow, as former Italian Prime Minster Enrico Letta says an independent Scotland could lead to further EU decline.
"The UK is one of the pillars of the single market, of big international trade agreements and is so important in Europe that the consequence will be maybe the start of the true decline of the European Union" he said.
Prominent 'Yes' campaigners join grasroots activists to push the 'Yes' vote, during the final hours of campaigning.
Actors Martin Compston and Elaine C Smith were joined by public sector workers and even English Scots in supporting the independence campaign.
— #YesBecause (@voteYES) September 17, 2014
14 former UK Armed Forces chiefs have written an open letter pleading Scots to vote no in tomorrow’s referendum, because an independent Scotland north of the rest of the UK will leave the whole island more vulnerable to attack.
The letter reads: “The division of the UK may or may not be politically or economically sensible, but in military terms we are clear: it will weaken us all.”
Spain says it could take 'years' before an independent Scotland could join the EU, The Guardian reports.
"They can ask to be integrated and begin a process that could take years. In the case of Spain it took eight years" said Spanish Prime Minister, Mariano Rajoy.
Rajoy has previously expressed discomfort with allowing Scotland to join the EU.
While Rajoy expressed concerns with the current economic state of the EU, and the uncertainty regarding Scotlands' future currency, some believe that his lack of support for Scottish independence may be due to fears that seperatists in Catalonia may also push for a similar independence referendum.
Turnout is expected to be massive, with 4,285,323 people having registered to vote by the September 2 deadline. With 2012 Scottish government figures estimating 4,410,288 people aged 16 and over reside in Scotland, up to 97 percent of eligible voters could turn out to cast their ballots.
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'Nationalism a dangerous force' in Scotland referendum - 'No' activists http://t.co/76sEAceMHW#indyref
— Ruptly (@Ruptly) September 17, 2014
"Yes" campaign claims David Cameron is urging companies to publicly speak out against independence to aid the "No" campaign in the final push before vote.
We're hearing that Cameron is personally phoning companies today to try to get them to speak out against indy. No are panicking! #letsdothis
— Yes Scotland (@YesScotland) September 17, 2014
Labour leader Ed Miliband was forced to abandon a campaign walkabout yesterday after clashes between “Yes” and “No” campaigners.
During a trip to St James Shopping Centre in Edinburgh, “Yes” supporters branded Miliband an “absolute liar”, a traitor and a murderer, reports the Herald.
According to the Scottish Sun, Miliband’s walkabout lasted just ten minutes because of the harassment.
Miliband condemned what he referred to as the “ugly side” of the referendum campaign.
“Alex Salmond must stop turning a blind eye to what is happening in his own backyard an condemn this behaviour. I think debates should be conducted in a civilised way - I think that’s very, very important - but I understand that passions run high.”
“If people vote no, it’s for change and more powers for a stronger Scotland, as well as NHS funding guarantees, and that’s got to be weighed against the big risks of voting yes.”
Dedicated Scottish voters get FREE 'Yes' tattoos!
See Scottish voters get FREE 'yes' tattoos http://t.co/fGI4nFOpWi#indyref
— Ruptly (@Ruptly) September 17, 201
Both the "Yes" and "No" campaigns are making their last ditch attempts to convince the estimated 500,000 undecided voters of their respective merits.
Today is the last chance to campaign. Use your time wisely! Get out and speak to undecided voters. #VoteYes#indyrefpic.twitter.com/wwwyBrduHW
— Yes Scotland (@YesScotland) September 17, 2014
PLEASE RETWEET: The polls open in less than 24 hours. Here's how I am voting... #indyrefpic.twitter.com/RPM7KD3vDp
— Better Together (@UK_Together) September 17, 2014
Philip Davies, the Conservative MP for Shipley in Yorkshire, has said he would not support further devolution for Scotland pledged by the leaders of the three Westminster parties should Scotland vote "No" in the referendum.
For the record, I will not be voting to maintain an unfair funding settlement for Scotland whatever Messrs Cameron, Miliband and Clegg say
— Philip Davies (@PhilipDaviesMP) September 16, 2014
In the event of a No vote, I will be doing all I can to stop MPs from Scotland voting on issues in Parliament which don't relate to Scotland
— Philip Davies (@PhilipDaviesMP) September 16, 2014
Scottish First Minister and SNP leader Alex Salmond wrote a letter to voters ahead of tomorrow’s referendum vote:
"In these final hours of this historic campaign I want to speak directly to every person in this country who is weighing up the arguments they have heard.
I have no doubt people in Scotland will look past the increasingly desperate and absurd scare stories being generated daily from Downing Street.
Those have no place in a sensible debate.
So in these last days of the greatest campaign Scotland has ever seen, I want to ask you to take a step back from the arguments of politicians and the blizzard of statistics.
For every expert on one side, there is an expert on the other.
For every scare tactic, there is a message of hope, opportunity and possibility.
The opportunity for our Parliament to gain real job creating powers, the ability to protect our treasured National Health Service and the building of a renewed relationship of respect and equality with our friends and neighbours in the rest of these Islands.
But for all that, the talking is nearly done.
The campaigns will have had their say.
What's left is just us - the people who live and work here.
The only people with a vote. The people who matter.
The people who for a few precious hours during polling day hold sovereignty, power, authority in their hands.
It's the greatest most empowering moment any of us will ever have.
Scotland’s future - our country in our hands.
What to do? Only each of us knows that.
For my part, I ask only this.
Make this decision with a clear head and a clear conscience.
Know that by voting ‘Yes’, what we take into our hands is a responsibility like no other- the responsibility to work together to make Scotland the nation it can be
That will require maturity, wisdom, engagement and energy- and it will come not from the usual sources of parties and politicians but from you -the people who have
transformed this moment from another political debate into a wonderful celebration of people power.
Does every Country make mistakes? Yes.
Are there challenges for Scotland to overcome? Undoubtedly.
But my question is this - who better to meet those challenges on behalf of our nation than us?
We must trust ourselves.
Trust each other."
Former prime minister Gordon Brown has addressed the “Better Together” rally.
Scotland is a nation, he says. And it has a parliament. And everyone is agreed it should have more powers.
The risks of independence are: the future of the currency; the risk of a default; the need to build up reserves; the risk of prices rising; the risk of interest rates rising; the risk of jobs being lost; and the risk of a “massive financial hole” in Scotland’s accounts, caused by oil revenues running short. That is what would put the NHS at risk, he says.
You have to vote and take account of the needs of children, he says. If you have doubts about the case for separation, hold your head high, have confidence and say, for reasons of solidarity, sharing, justice and pride in Scotland, the only answer is vote no.
Prime Minister David Cameron admitted he is "nervous" ahead of the Scots going to the polls tomorrow but said he is confident they will vote against a split.
"Well of course everyone who cares about our United Kingdom - and I care passionately about our United Kingdom - is nervous," he said to reporters at a visit in Fleet, Hampshire.
Speaking ahead of tomorrow's independence referendum, Cameron said: "But I'm confident that we've set out how Scotland can have the best of both worlds - a successful economy with a growing number of jobs […] combined with the ability of Scots if they vote No to have even more powers and even more say over how to run their own affairs in Scotland."
Cameron also emphasized that he would not quit if Scotland votes for independence. He is likely to come under pressure, including from his own MPs, if Scotland votes ‘Yes.’
"My name is not on the ballot paper. What's on the ballot paper is 'does Scotland want to stay in the United Kingdom, or does Scotland want to separate itself from the United Kingdom?,” he said. “That's the only question that will be decided on Thursday night. The question about my future will be decided at the British general election coming soon."
On Thursday, Scotland votes - and the future of the UK is at stake. Please help keep our family of nations together: https://t.co/j0JkdjiK7f
— David Cameron (@David_Cameron) September 15, 2014
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A 97% registration to vote & expected turnout of over 80% is brilliant when compared to last general election turnout of 65% #indyref
— Adam Gray (@AdamGray1250) September 17, 2014
Prime Minister David Cameron, has given an interview to the Times’ Magnus Linklater.
He admitted he could not explain why the polls were so close.
“I’m not a pollster, so I can’t really explain polls. My job is to help move them rather than explain them.”
Glaswegians rally for an independent Scotland:
First we had referendum outcomes predicted by the weather. Now, fried chicken has got in on the act!
Meanwhile @DailyMirror reports: 'man finds piece of KFC chicken that looks like UK without #Scotland'. #indyrefpic.twitter.com/iz9ZatuIjv
— Nina Schick (@NinaDSchick) September 17, 2014
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If you want to get a few hours sleep before! This the times results expected! #indyrefpic.twitter.com/o1Kvi8sVbD
— Bazlightyear (@Bazlightyear88) September 17, 2014
Brian Docherty, chairman of the Scottish Police Federation, issued a statement on the civil tensions surrounding the referendum race. He says:“The referendum debate has been robust but overwhelmingly good natured.
“It was inevitable that the closer we came to the 18th of September passions would increase but that does not justify the exaggerated rhetoric that is being deployed with increased frequency. Any neutral observer could be led to believe Scotland is on the verge of societal disintegration yet nothing could be further from the truth.
“Scotland’s citizens are overwhelmingly law abiding and tolerant and it is preposterous to imply that by placing a cross in a box, our citizens will suddenly abandon the personal virtues and values held dear to them all.
“At this time it is more important than ever that individuals be they politicians, journalists or whoever should carefully consider their words, maintain level heads and act with respect. Respect is not demonstrated by suggesting a minority of mindless idiots are representative of anything. One of the many joys of this campaign has been how it has awakened political awareness across almost every single section of society. The success enjoyed by the many should not be sullied by the actions of the few.
“Police officers must be kept free from the distractions of rhetoric better suited to the playground that the political stump. If crime has been committed it will be investigated and dealt with appropriately but quite simply police officers have better things to do that officiate in spats on social media and respond to baseless speculation of the potential for disorder on and following polling day.”
Harry Potter author J.K. Rowling among a number of celebrities openly supporting the "No" campaign.
Big day in Scotland tomorrow #indyref. My head says no and my heart shouts it - but whatever happens, I hope we're all friends by Saturday.
— J.K. Rowling (@jk_rowling) September 17, 2014
"Better Together" campaign rally under way, urging Scots to stay in the Union.
Brilliant atmosphere at our Love Scotland Vote No Rally. #indyrefpic.twitter.com/ue5Nh9grFe
— Blair McDougall (@blairmcdougall) September 17, 2014
Following yesterday's pledges by the three Westminster party leaders offering new powers to the Scottish parliament in the event of a "No" vote, Conservative MPs have voiced their opposition to further devolution. This may offer another last minute boost to the "Yes" campaign.
There's only ONE way to guarantee Scotland gets the powers we need: Vote YES http://t.co/vi5hIIlf83#indyrefpic.twitter.com/4pv9V5S2p5
— Yes Scotland (@YesScotland) September 17, 2014
Alistair Darling, the chairman of “Better Together”, is speaking at the campaign’s rally in Glasgow:
He says at the end of a campaign like this, you need certainty, but the nationalists are not offering certainty.
Everyone in Scotland if fiercely patriotic, he says. But his view is that Scots should say no with head and heart.
“Yes we love Scotland. That’s why we’re voting no.”
"Better Together" rally is getting under way:
Eddie Izzard opens the final pro-Union rally. #indyrefpic.twitter.com/N8LR8DXPbr
— Alan Roden (@AlanRoden) September 17, 2014
Scottish First Minister and leader of the “Yes” campaign, Alex Salmond, and former Labour chancellor and “No” campaign chairman Alistair Darling spoke on BBC’s Today programme this morning.
Salmond said the enthusiasm shown by voters during the campaign could turn Scotland into the envy of democratic participation across the world.
“If we can encapsulate some of that enthusiasm, some of that positivity, that is going to turn this nation into a better place and we will be the envy of democratic participation across the rest of the world.”
He predicted that Westminster would abandon its opposition to a currency union in the event of a yes vote.
“You know it and I know it and on Friday when the yes side have won this campaign, and I hope have won it with a decent margin, then you’ll find Westminster politicians singing an entirely different tune.”
Darling said some people would find the anti-BBC protest organised by yes supporters on Sunday “quite frightening”.
“Unfortunately there are some who have stepped over the mark. Frankly, to have people demonstrating outside the BBC, some thousands of people holding up placards of journalists they disapprove of - you don’t expect to see that in this country.
“What sort of Scotland would that be if that sort of behaviour - which the first minister of Scotland has condoned, he said it was joyous - some people find that quite frightening.”
Prime Minister David Cameron says he will not stand down if Scotland votes for independence on Thursday.
He told reporters he would leave it to voters at next year’s general election to decide his future.
“My name is not on the ballot paper. What’s on the ballot paper is ‘does Scotland want to stay in the United Kingdom, or does Scotland want to separate itself from the United Kingdom?’" he said.
“That's the only question that will be decided on Thursday night. The question about my future will be decided at the British general election coming soon.”
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Wednesday's Herald front page - "Yes hails polls momentum" #tomorrowspaperstoday#indyref#scotpaperspic.twitter.com/ei9HnWXxpA
— Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) September 16, 2014
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Yes Scotland & grassroots supporters gathering outside Glasgow's concert hall #indyrefpic.twitter.com/coYYwuJaEg
— Libby Brooks (@libby_brooks) September 17, 2014
With just a day to go until Scots vote in the independence referendum, RT’s Polly Boiko examines the polls and Westminster’s last ditch attempt to keep Scotland in the Union. Party leaders have pledged new powers to the Scottish parliament if voters choose to stay. Prime Minister David Cameron has warned a split could damage financial stability.
Today is the final push for both the “Yes and “No” camps:
- Both sides will hold rallies
- Alex Salmond has written a letter to voters urging a “Yes” vote
- The latest polls suggest “No” is on 52 percent with “Yes” on 48 percent
- Voters will be asked tomorrow: “Should Scotland be an independent country?”