Italian job: Can Europe break fall of Rome?

Published time: November 10, 2011 06:52
Edited time: November 10, 2011 19:23
Demonstrators wearing masks of Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi (R) and the leader of the Northern League Umberto Bossi on November 5, 2011 in Rome (AFP Photo / Andreas Solaro)
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The eurozone crisis is developing at an unprecedented rate and Italy has become the latest country to be sucked into a debt spiral from which it might not return.

­Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi is facing his last few days in office as Italy moves closer to the financial brink.

Its bond rates hit emergency levels, close to those which forced Greece, Portugal and Ireland to ask for an EU bailout.

That has sparked panic in global markets amid fears Berlusconi's successor will not be able to prevent the eurozone's third-largest economy from sinking.

Borrowing costs have passed the seven per cent mark, entering extremely dangerous territory. Seven per cent was the trigger point which forced countries like Ireland, Portugal and Greece to seek an emergency bailout from the EU and the IMF.

This is also the point at which creditors start to look carefully at a country’s debt. With a debt the size of Italy’s, the likelihood is that the country will not be able to pay what it owes. At that point, creditors will stop lending and investors will turn away – depriving the economy of a lifeboat.

That scenario would be disastrous for a country like Italy which has debt of around € 1.9 trillion ($2.6 trillion). It is widely believed that Italy's debt is way too big for the EU to bail out.

Whether Europe has the resources to save Italy or not, the EU’s bailout fund is simply not ready as there is nowhere near enough money in it – which could prove to be a real problem in itself.

The financial crisis in the EU has morphed into a political one, and Italy is no exception. Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has said that his resignation is a certainty and he is actually quite relieved to be stepping down.

At the moment there are no guarantees that the interim government which will succeed his administration will actually have the political will to push through some of the very necessary anti-crisis measures that the markets are going to be demanding.  

What is clear for now is that the hows and whens of any new government will make little short-term difference to the financial quagmire into which Rome is rapidly sinking.

Comments (6)

Germany is not an economic Island 11.11.2011 11:57

As an occupied country, Germany is on a short leash of the US. Would the US allow itself to go broke not Germany? Of course not. If for no other reason than giving the World Government currency legitimacy, Germany will join the WG in the last hour of economic collapse by saying it paid so many billions of Euro in the process of trying to bail out the futile other Euro countries.  &n bsp;People shall understand and feel sorry for the puppet. Meanwhile, all those who have been stashing their lifetime savings in Germany will be reminded of the proverbial “a sucker is born every minute”.

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Democracy in Action 11.11.2011 00:05

Make it your business to publicly articu late about the specific wasteful government spending that we all know a few of them. A tight government budget on wastes is the way to go not cutting the essential services and legitimate obligations like pension. Also, Put your money where your mouth is. Instead of waiting for an economic collapse that wipes out your money anyway. One way is to put your existing cash into lobbying the elected officials that are against any war with a track record of opposing government spending on wars. Wars are drains on economy. No country with unemployed, under the poverty line population, and deficit should participate in wars.

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Leonardo (unregistered) 10.11.2011 13:16

After Italy will follow France and, finally, German. What does it mean? It means that the problem is not the public debt. Look at Japan, it's debt is enormous but it will not fail, because Japan has a central bank and an own money. Nor will do US and UK. So, the problem are the Euro and the European Central Bank. This monetary union is madness. So, Berlusconi is a false matter. Look at the German-French leaders Merkozy, are they doing better than him?

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