A sign of things to come

Published time: September 13, 2011 17:04
Edited time: September 13, 2011 23:37
Romanian Foreign Minister Teodor Basconschi (L) and US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton sign a Ballistic Missile Defense Agreement between the US and Romania at the US Departmentof State September 13, 2011, in Washington, DC (AFP Photo / Paul J. Richards)
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The United States and Romania have signed off on the first stage of the European anti-missile defense shield. Russia continues to demand guarantees of the shield not being aimed at its strategic forces.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her Romanian counterpart signed the first bilateral agreement for the placement of AMD shield elements in the country. Elements of the anti-missile shield will be located at an unused military base, deemed to be the best out of several locations for the 24 interception missiles, which will be operational in 2015.

The plan calls for deploying increasingly sophisticated land- and sea-based assets around the continent to identify and destroy enemy missiles from nations such as Iran. Originally the US wanted to deploy the shield in Poland and the Czech Republic, but that fell through when the Czechs pulled out, frustrated at what they saw as “too small a role” in the program.

Amid intensifying pressure from Russia, which received no definite guarantees that the system is not aimed at its territory, US President Barack Obama made a statement in September 2009 saying his country "no longer planned to move forward" with the project. Soon a new, scaled-down version of the shield was introduced, with Romania and Turkey as the only confirmed participants – but rumors have circulated of two other Central European countries also coming onboard.

The plan to erect the shield to protect American interests from a perceived threat from what the White House deems “rogue nations,” such as Iran, has not been well received in Moscow. Russian political and military officials have flat-out stated the AMD system is just shy of a national threat – and that they are prepared to employ “not diplomatic, but military-technical methods."

Russia wanted to build a joint system which would use NATO and Russian capabilities to defend against a possible attack, but would not be out of Moscow's control. However, the revised AMD plans failed to address Russia's concerns, with Moscow continuing to view the current plan for the European anti-missile system with suspicion. Its concerns have been largely dismissed as “over the top,” but a recent visit by French Foreign Minister Alain Juppe seems to have been aimed at not only verbally placating Russia’s fears, but actually backing up words with actions.

Following the visit, NATO’s assistant secretary general, Dirk Brengelmann, said: "We can give political reassurances that the missile defense system is not aimed against Russia. These will be political wordings. Then they will be set out on paper."

But so far, the only thing that is being put to paper is the pens of US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Romanian Foreign Affairs Minister Teodor Baconschi. And Moscow has been forced to remind Washington once more that a legal agreement with Romania must be met with a legal agreement with Russia.

"The situation's development simply intensifies the need for definitive, legally binding guarantees from NATO and the United States that the European defense shield will not be aimed at Russian strategic forces", said an official statement released by the Foreign Affairs Ministry late on Tuesday.


­An activist from the Humanist movement, Jan Tamas, believes that what we are seeing now is a dangerous move away from an arms-free future.

“It goes again in the way of armament, in the way of using force not only in the countries where there are armed conflicts, like Iraq, like Afghanistan, in other countires in northern Africa and around the Mediterranean, but also in Europe,” he told RT. “And that I see as a very dangerous development. Because if we build up more military equipment in Europe, we are moving closer to a conflict.”

“There are many more dangerous weapons of mass destruction around the world,” he continued. “The nuclear weapons. There are thousands of nuclear warheads in the world. And they are just a ticking bomb waiting for a disaster – either one that is planned – or one that is caused by an accident. So, that is a much bigger threat than some potential hypothetical threat like North Korea or Iran.”

“What we need to talk about is fundamental threats, the most important threats, and reassess the threats based on their importance,” he stated.


Comments (26)

Chris (unregistered) 22.09.2011 12:50

OK so Russia wants a legally binding contract so that NATO will not use these anti-missile system to protect itself against Russian aggressive missiles? So what they are saying is if we attack you, we want you to agree to not defend yourselves, otherwise we will sue whatever is left of you in the courts. What sane person would agree to that?

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Credibility and Reliability 18.09.2011 00:16

To: from Poland—Speaking of “chances” one does not have to look far beyond the current news on RT in “Turkey to host NATO anti-missile radar”, which says: “Meanwhile, the latest test of the new SM-3 IB ballistic missile killer, a key element of the AMD, ended in failure on Thursday, the US Missile Defense Agency reported. The interceptor was fired from the Aegis cruiser USS Lake Erie in the Pacific Ocean, but did not destroy its target, a short-range ballistic missile launched from Hawaii 925 kilometers away.” So, with the proven actual facts reported by the US we can conclude that the current AMD capability is a failure let alone missing the exact point of payload that you have easily assumed is still very unlikely to happen. Sounds like when we heard that chances of Saddam not having WMD was unlikely. Who exactly calculates these chances? What empirical evidence is before them?

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Serendipity 16.09.2011 14:29

A Missile Shield is a hit or misses with an unspoken margin of error that, after fired, can result in ending somewhere in the host country or in its neighbourhood, injuring civilians with no benefits. If by chance they strike the payload of an incoming missile they produce a mess of scattered radioactive materials. The missile shield is also remotely programmable to strike a land target of a disagreeable host politician, or, a neighbouring country to invoke a regional war. Of course, the first few land targets will be called malfunctions and accidents but if the host country has had a history of disagreements like Poland it can embrace for an immediate reaction from its neighbour before an explanation is sought. In today’s tense geopolitical environment, it is impossible for a missile shield host country to remain independent and in charge of itself once it allows the so-called Trojan horse of missile shield into its country. Then, for all practical purposes, the host country has implicitly lost its sovereignty to the US and can expect to be treated by its neighbour as an agent of the US in a proxy war.  Is this how the World War III is about to start?

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