Trust me, Iran definitely wants Israel to fire the first shot.  Israel you're not super ready, you're super stupid, reduced to a barking dog.

The distance from Israeli bases to Iranian nuclear facilities imposes two significant difficulties:

The first involves airspace. Depending on the route selected, Israeli aircraft would have to cross the sovereign airspace of Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Iraq, Syria, and/or Turkey both en route and on the return trip. The route over Iraq would be the most direct and  likely, because Iraq effectively has no air defenses and the United  States, after its December withdrawal, no longer has the obligation to defend Iraqi skies. However, each route involves different diplomatic considerations, but Israel has shown a willingness and ability to  operate in foreign airspace for limited periods with little or no  detection and without targeting air defense sites, as in the 2007 raid  on the suspected Syrian nuclear site near Deir al Zur.

A second challenge is that the distance to targets and the size of a possible strike package would require all of Israel’s aerial refueling capability, with little or no margin for equipment or operational failures. Israel has five KC-130s and four 707-based tankers similar to American KC-135s.  A 2009 study estimated a need for 12 tanker equivalents per mission simply to attack Iranian nuclear facilities at Esfahan, Natanz, and Arak (the Fordow facility had not yet been revealed).  Without additional tankers, the fighters would have to refuel twice over the duration of the mission. This need may be somewhat reduced by the fact that Israel is also believed to have “mastered the operation of ‘buddy refueling, using the F-15s’ drop tanks to refuel the shorter-range F-16s en route.

David Virgil Dafinoiu, AGT Intelligence

There´s country that needs its own vietnam...